February 03, 2007

On Road to Kosovo Independence, a Warning: Go Slow

The New York Times



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February 4, 2007

On Road to Kosovo Independence, a Warning: Go Slow

By CRAIG S. SMITH



MITROVICA, Kosovo, Jan. 29 — Thuggish Serbian “bridge watchers” still maintain their vigil on the north side of the Ibar River here, ready to punish any ethnic Albanian who dares to cross the unofficial boundary between Serbian and ethnic Albanian territory in Europe’s unfinished war.



Kosovo, still officially a province of Serbia, is bitterly divided between Serbian enclaves, including a large chunk of the north, and the rest of the territory, which is overwhelmingly ethnic Albanian. Now, as the United Nations nudges Kosovo toward what it calls “final status” and Belgrade calls independence, many of northern Kosovo’s Serbs are threatening to break away.



“Northern Kosovo will secede,” warned Oliver Ivanovic, a moderate Serbian politician here. Mr. Ivanovic says he has been warning the United Nations, NATO, the European Union and the United States that, nearly eight years after a NATO bombing campaign drove the Serbian Army and other security forces out of Kosovo, it is still too early to settle the status of the disputed territory. “Kosovo’s independence will leave no space for the moderates to act.”



Secession by northern Serbs could provoke Albanian reprisals against Serbian enclaves elsewhere in Kosovo, warn Serbs and Albanians alike, and could destabilize a still fragile region full of ethnic slivers separated from their homelands.



Kosovo, which is more than 90 percent ethnic Albanian, has struggled since the early 20th century to free itself from the dominance of Belgrade. With the breakup of Yugoslavia in the early 1990s the fight began anew, but Serbia resisted fiercely.



The war was marked by atrocities on both sides and a horrific cycle of “ethnic cleansing,” as the formerly mixed Serbian and ethnic Albanian populations pulled apart. Nearly 10,000 ethnic Albanians died as well as many Serbs. Thousands more, mostly ethnic Albanians, remain missing.



It ended with NATO’s intervention in 1999, and the province has been administered by the United Nations ever since.



[A United Nations mediator, Martti Ahtisaari, presented his proposals for Kosovo’s final status to officials in Belgrade and Pristina on Friday, but the two sides remained far apart. The Serbian president, Boris Tadic, immediately rejected the plans as a prelude to independence while Kosovo Albanians — who with the United States’ blessing have said they will accept nothing less than independence — welcomed them. The continued standoff suggested that the intended end may instead be a prologue to another difficult chapter in a troubled history.]



Most of the Kosovo Serbs insist that they will never accept an independent Kosovo. Even if the government in Pristina does hoist a new national flag, they say, they will fight to recover the province that Serbs still consider their cultural heartland — the cradle and, in 1389 at the hand of the Turks, the grave of their great medieval empire.



“It would create a situation like Iraq or Lebanon here in Serbia,” said Milan Ivanovic, a doctor at Mitrovica’s hospital and head of Kosovo’s hard-line Serbian National Council (no relation to Oliver Ivanovic). He cited the Christian reconquest of Moorish Spain and France’s eventual recovery of the Alsace-Lorraine region from Germany as models. “We would fight to get Kosovo back with all legitimate means.”



Kosovo Albanians and their international supporters hope that a high degree of autonomy in Serbian areas with guarantees for the protection of Serbian rights and strict international oversight will eventually persuade Serbs in the territory to accept an Albanian-led government in Pristina.



“Hopefully, with independence, a local Serb leadership will emerge to address the needs of the Serbs within the Kosovo system,” said Muhamet Hamiti, an adviser to Kosovo’s president, Fatmir Sejdiu.



Some moderate Serbian politicians are already willing to work within a Kosovo national system, even if their political support in the Serbian community is small.



But Serbian enclaves, particularly northern Kosovo, still operate under Serbian national authority and draw most of their financial support from Belgrade, raising questions about how Pristina could enforce sovereignty over Kosovo Serbs without coercive actions that would risk provoking more violence.



Nowhere is the divide as clear as in the region around this northern city. A United Nations-financed train that links the rest of Kosovo’s Serb enclaves with the north carries Serbs and Albanians alike until it reaches the Mitrovica station south of the river. There, even the Albanian conductor gets off. Only Serbs ride on for another 15 minutes across an iron railroad bridge to the end of the line.



“I’m not brave enough to go up there,” the conductor said, watching the train pull away. “I survived the war. I don’t need another challenge.”



Cars carry Serbian license plates and the economy still operates on the Serbian dinar even though the Albanian areas of this long-disputed territory, now administered by the United Nations, long ago converted to the euro. Serbia’s Ministry of Education in Belgrade has even set up what it calls the “University of Pristina, Temporarily Located in Mitrovica.”



“How can they force us to accept independence?” asked Dr. Ivanovic, the Serbian politician, who like many people working for Serbian institutions in Kosovo’s Serbian enclaves is paid an above average salary by Belgrade as a reward for his loyalty.



While many people see fixing Kosovo’s eventual independence as the last chapter of Yugoslav disintegration, Serbs see it as the dismemberment of their homeland.



The province, ringed by snowy mountains and populated with great colonies of inky rooks that gave it its name (kos means blackbird in Serbian), is home to the Serbian Orthodox Church’s most sacred sites.



“This is the spiritual center of the Serbian Church,” said Sister Dobrila, a nun at the monastery of the Patriarchate of Pec, which was built around a richly frescoed Byzantine church from the 13th century that holds the tombs of Serbia’s medieval archbishops.



She noted that western Kosovo, the site of the monastery, is called Metohija in Serbian, which means “church land.” “It’s sacred territory,” she said.



Even the birds, which swarm over Pristina to settle in its trees at night, are woven into the nationalist myth. According to Serbian folklore, the birds are the souls of the dead from the 14th century battle of Kosovo, in which a Serbian-led Christian army sought to stop the Ottoman advance — an advance whose legacy is the nominally Muslim Albanian majority in the province today.



The common analogy given to Americans, imperfect but pertinent in the emotions it stirs, is the notion of secession by Florida or New Mexico, if the Spanish-speaking populations in those states became a majority. The analogy is imperfect because few Americans, most of whom are already long separated from their cultural roots, have as deep an emotional connection to place as many Europeans have.



That is why Europe, understanding the violence of such emotions, is not united behind the United Nations plan. Countries facing their own secessionist movements — Spain with the Basques, Romania with ethnic Hungarians, and Russia with Chechens and peoples of other rebellious territories — are skeptical of what they see as an American effort to jam a solution into place so Washington can turn its attention elsewhere.



“A forced solution is not a solution,” said Marko Jaksic, head of the Democratic Party of Serbia and widely regarded as the most powerful politician in Mitrovica.









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Swiss expert criticises Kosovo proposal

Swiss expert criticises Kosovo proposal



Thomas Fleiner, a Swiss legal expert who is advising the Serbian government on Kosovo, has criticised the latest proposal on the future of the disputed province.







Fleiner told a newspaper the plan presented by the United Nations special envoy to Kosovo, Martti Ahtisaari, might result in a pressure:based solution and therefore more ethnic conflict.



The Swiss Foreign Ministry, has, however, welcomed Ahtisaari's recommendations.



The 90 per cent ethnic Albanian majority want Kosovo to break away from Serbia, but this is rejected by Belgrade, which wants the province to remain part of the country.



Ahtisaari's plan, presented on Friday, recommends that Kosovo should be able to govern itself democratically and make international agreements.



It did not explicitly mention independence, but observers have hailed it as taking the first tentative step on the road to possible statehood. The proposal has already been rejected by the president of Serbia.



In an interview published in Saturday's edition of Le Temps, Fleiner said he was not optimistic about the plan.



"For me the only solution for Kosovo is to clearly reach a consensus between the parties and not a limping compromise resulting from international pressure," the head of Fribourg University's Institute of Federalism said.

Vienna meeting



Ahtisaari has called a meeting between the two sides in Vienna later this month in which both sides are, according to the UN envoy, to be given one more chance to find a compromise.



However, Fleiner said that this was putting too much pressure on the Serbs and could be exploited by the nationalists, the big winners in the last parliamentary elections.



He said that in ethnic conflicts it was often the process and negotiations that counted more than the final solution and that the international community could learn its lessons from the situations in Cyprus and in the Middle East.



For her part, Swiss Foreign Mininster Micheline Calmy:Rey has several times stated her support for Kosovo's independence.



Fleiner called on the government to continue its efforts, but emphasised that for now Serbia did not consider Bern to be neutral in the matter.



A foreign ministry spokesman, quoted in Le Temps, said the ministry welcomed Ahtisaari's latest recommendations.



Switzerland has not participated in the official negotiations but has collaborated wit the UN envoy by giving him assistance on decentralisation and protection of minorities issues, spokesman Philippe Jeanneret was quoted as saying.

UN administration



The UN has administered Kosovo since a Nato bombing campaign forced out Serbian troops in 1999.



Talks on the province's future and status have been continuing for years without the two sides coming to agreement.



Under Ahtisaari's plan, Kosovo could raise its own flag, with its own national anthem and other symbols.



But an "international community representative" would be appointed, with powers to intervene if Kosovo tried to go further than the plan allowed, while Nato and European Union forces would remain in military and policing roles.



The UN Security Council will have the final say on whether to adopt the plan.



swissinfo with agencies



http://www.nzz.ch/2007/02/03/eng/article7494094.html





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Serbia Rejects U.N. Plan for Independent Kosovo

Serbia Rejects U.N. Plan for Independent Kosovo





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By CRAIG S. SMITH

Published: February 2, 2007



PRISTINA, Kosovo, Feb. 2 — Serbia rejected a United Nations proposal today that paves the way for an independent Kosovo, setting up a possible showdown between its supporter, Russia, and the West over the disputed territory’s final status.



Serbia’s response came almost immediately after a United Nations envoy, Martti Ahtisaari, presented the complex plan to politicians here and in Belgrade.



“I told Mr. Ahtisaari that Serbia and I, as its president, will never accept Kosovo’s independence,” President Boris Tadic said in a statement from Belgrade. He noted that while the plan does not mention statehood for Kosovo, it “opens the possibility for Kosovo’s independence.”



The proposal, which is still subject to weeks of negotiation between the two sides, will require Russian acquiescence in order to win Security Council approval. Russia, a permanent member of the Security Council with veto power over the plan, has until now backed Serbia’s position that Kosovo must remain an integral, albeit autonomous, part of Serbia.



A NATO bombing campaign stopped fighting between Serb and Kosovo Albanian forces in 1999 and put the disputed territory under United Nations administration. It has been in limbo since then. Mr. Ahtisaari’s proposal is intended to finally fix the province’s future, closing the last chapter of the 1990’s Balkan wars.



While the plan does not mention independence, its provisions describe de facto statehood for Kosovo — providing for an army, constitution and flag — though it would still be protected by NATO and overseen by the international community for the indefinite future. The plan would also allow Kosovo to declare independence if the package is approved by the Security Council.



Mr. Ahtisaari avoided addressing the subject of independence today at news conferences in Belgrade and Pristina, saying only that “there will be a clear definition of Kosovo’s status when I submit my proposals to the Security Council.”



He did not expect the provisions regarding Kosovo’s status to change much before then, he said.



“Let’s face it,” he said, “the positions of the parties are extremely firm on both sides, so on the question of status, I’m not very hopeful” that there will be any more progress toward a compromise.



That shifts the onus to Russia and, to a lesser extent, China, both of which have supported Serbia’s territorial claims — in part, over concerns about ethnically motivated secessionist movements in their own countries.



In Russia, officials have long said they would not back any solution that was not supported by Serbia, effectively ruling out a forced separation, even one that stopped short of outright independence.



By tonight, the Russian government had not responded officially, but Leonid E. Slutsky, deputy chairman of the international affairs committee of the lower house of Parliament, said that Mr. Ahtisaari’s proposal was far from the last word.



“It raises many questions,” he said, according to Interfax, “and it appears to me that any haste in trying to implement this plan may bring negative consequences.”



The question now is what Russia will demand in exchange for dropping its objections to the plan, if it is willing to drop them at all.



Mr. Ahtisaari did not give a timetable for taking the plan to the Security Council, but said he would set aside the rest of February for further negotiations with the two sides.



The proposal provides for the province’s United Nations administration to be replaced by an International Civilian Representative who would have veto power over all government decisions for an indefinite period. It also foresees a multiethnic Kosovo security force of 2,500 troops and 800 reserves as well as a domestic intelligence agency to monitor threats to internal security.



The plan calls for the disbanding of the Kosovo Protection Force, which consists primarily of former fighters from the Kosovo Liberation Army, which fought Serbia and has been charged with human rights violations against Serbs.



Kosovo Serbs in six municipalities would be granted wide autonomy powers, including the right to receive financial donations and technical assistance from Serbia. The proposal would also establish more than 40 “protected zones” limiting building and commercial activity around Serbian churches and monasteries.



A constitution, to be written by a 21-member Constitutional Commission, will need a two-thirds majority for approval by Kosovo’s Parliament. Kosovo Serbs and other minorities will be consulted on the document but the proposal does not require them to be included in the commission.



Serbs and other minorities would be guaranteed seats in the Parliament and have the power to block legislation of “special interest” to them. But Mr. Ahtisaari said Friday that the provision could not be used to block more important measures, such as the constitution or a declaration of Kosovo’s independence.



In Belgrade the mood was glum. Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica, who refused to meet with Mr. Ahtisaari, called the proposal “illegitimate,” saying that it violated the United Nations Charter because it would “divide Serbia’s territory and redraw its internationally recognized borders.”



The proposal was met with only muted optimism in Pristina. “Kosovo will be sovereign like all other countries,” said Kosovo’s president, Fatmir Sejdiu, after his meeting with Mr. Ahtisaari. The territory’s prime minister, Agim Ceku, said the document “is very clear for Kosovo’s future.”



Not everyone is so sure. Albin Hurti, a Kosovo Albanian whose Movement for Self-Determination has called for protests against the proposal on Feb. 10, argues that Mr. Ahtisaari’s soft and slow approach to Kosovo’s independence will give Serbia time to strengthen its hold on Kosovo’s Serb areas. “This plan will lead to more conflicts,” he said.



Xhimajl Kilminda, 53, a graphic designer, watching the news on television at his apartment in Pristina, said he was hoping for immediate independence but was nonetheless encouraged by the news.



“Now we have to wait,” he said. “I hope we will have independence soon.”



Steven Lee Myers contributed from Moscow

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/02/world/europe/02cnd-kosovo.html?





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