February 07, 2006

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaw those Serbians

 
dpa: British official urges Kosovo to embrace multi-ethnicity
 
Reuters: Kosovo can win independence, says British diplomat
 
People's Daily Online: UN mission chief appeals against possible U.S. troops cut in Kosovo
 
Lavrov urges Kosovo, Cyprus settlements without external pressure
 
Beware your steps in the Balkans
 
Police detains three Albanian weapons bootleggers
 
Busek: Kosovo negotiations will lead to elections in Serbia
 
Stratfor: Kosovo: The Power Struggle After Rugova's Death
 
---------------------

http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2006/02/2C5F41A9-B175-45E5-B12D-A03FDD4D68EC.html

Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty

Monday, 06 February 2006

Kosovo: U.S. Official Expresses Hope For Final-Status Progress

On 1 February, Arbana Vidishiqiof the Kosovo subunit of RFE/RL's South Slavic and Albanian Languages Service spoke with Philip Goldberg, the U.S. Head of Office in Kosova, about the prospects for a resolution of Kosovo's status in 2006.

RFE/RL: The Contact Group issued a statement last night [31 January] calling for all possible efforts to be made to reach a settlement in the course of 2006. Do you think this is possible and what would be the risks that can jeopardize this phase?

Philip Goldberg: Clearly the United States has said that we are interested in the process moving as fast as possible, trying to reach a conclusion in the final-status discussions. That will require hard work by all sides, especially here in Prishtina. The death of [Kosovo] President [Ibrahim] Rugova of course has understandably caused a short period, we believe, in respect of his memory, from working in the negotiating team. But that will start again and it will require hard work, hard decisions, and compromise by Prishtina, Belgrade, and the active involvement of the international community. So I do believe that in 2006, as the Contact Group said, that this is possible.

RFE/RL: The statement issued by the Contact Group has been evaluated as of very high importance for Kosova. How would you comment the context of the statement?

Goldberg: I believe that any statement by the Contact Group by definition, especially at the ministerial level, is of great importance. And yet I think it again restates that we are very active in trying to reach a resolution of the final-status decision; it expresses great support for former [Finnish] President [Martti] Ahtisaari, as the [special] UN envoy [on the status talks] and his efforts. I know that Ambassador [Frank] Wisner, the US envoy who was in London, will be arriving in Prishtina later this afternoon and will make his initial consultations with the negotiating team and the political players here, both from the Albanian side and the Serb side and the non-Serb minorities. So I think the process is well under way, and the Contact Group statement supported that process. I think that is good.

RFE/RL: The official talks on status are due to begin at the end of February, with a meeting on decentralization. International negotiators have said they are ready, but according to you, how ready are Prishtina and Belgrade?

Goldberg: I can't speak about Belgrade. I'll allow my colleague [U.S.] Ambassador [to Serbia and Montenegro Michael] Polt to do that, if you are interested in the American perspective on it. What I can tell you about the Prishtina side is that there was a lot of good work that went on in the political and strategic group. A paper was developed that appears to be a very good one and a good starting point from this side. And I believe that the team will be ready to discuss those issues in late February, after the selection of a new president, after the meeting of the negotiating team that is necessary to help put them on that course to Vienna. As I mentioned, this is a mourning period now for President Rugova and that has delayed the process a couple of weeks.

RFE/RL: Do you think that the death of President Rugova can impact the political scene and the negotiating process itself as a whole?

Goldgberg: I believe that President Rugova would want this process to go forward, and his life's project was to reach a decision on Kosovo's status. We all know what he believed that status should be. But that will require hard work and compromise and will require people here to respect each other in reaching decisions. I do believe that this can be done and has to be done now, keeping in mind President Rugova's legacy, but obviously without President Rugova.

RFE/RL: After the late president passed away, many have said that Kosovo may face political crises. What do you think, is there really such an anxiety in this regard?

Goldberg: I don't believe that's the case. I think, actually what we saw over the last week, 10 days, is enormous respect, an enormous outpouring of grief over the president's loss. But I think that the political world has remained stable and now the president's political party is in the process of choosing someone for the post of president to offer at the Kosovo Assembly. So that is the normal course of events. Of course this is not an easy situation either for the LDK the Democratic League of Kosovo], the president's political party, or for Kosovo as a whole. They have only known one president. So it will be a difficult period. But I think it is an important period for Kosovo to show its maturity both politically and as a society that this is a collective effort and an issue in terms of a status decision that will effect everybody, not just one person.

RFE/RL: You have raised the issue of a consensual president. Fatmir Sejdiu from the LDK is most likely to be nominated as a candidate for Kosova's president. Does he fit the description you were referring to when you mentioned the consensual president?

Goldberg: What I meant when I used the term "consensual president" was somebody who would gain wide respect, not just within the LDK, but also in the Kosovar society, among the opposition parties. Somebody who would be able to unite people at this time. And I think that the reaction to Mr. Sejdiu, at least what I have seen in the press and among the political figures here, indicates that that is the case with him. So I believe that yes, he is among those who would fit the description of the consensual president.

RFE/RL: Mr. Goldberg, the talks on status are expected to be more concentrated on minorities issues, especially on the Serb minority. How much have the Kosovars done and what do they need to do further in this regard? 
 
 
[Graffiti in Prishtina calling for no negotiation on independence (epa file photo) ]

Goldberg: The decentralization paper that I mentioned is one of the key issues that relates to the minorities and their ability to live safely, securely and with confidence in Kosovo. That is an important step. The key issue really is what does the majority, really the vast majority, probably 90 percent of the population, feel about having the minority living with them and enjoying not just full rights, but also the ability to maintain their culture, their language, their educational facilities, and the rest. These are important issues that they need to think about a lot. I think you can also see that what Kosovo and the negotiating team will have to deal with in considering all these issues, is that the international community, which has actually been in charge through the UN over the last 6 1/2 years until the final-status decision, is going to make sure that these are issues that are front in center. So it is both a part of getting the situation internally correct, because it says a lot about Kosovo's democracy that minorities will have that ability to live comfortably and securely, but also in a way Kosovo's policy toward the world, what kind of place is going to be.

RFE/RL: Many experts say the development of the economy is a precondition for a stable situation. Many are expecting that after the status definition, the issue of economy is going to be resolved. Is it realistic to expect that, and is it realistic to expect that international aid is going to be more approachable after the status is defined?

Goldberg: It is not a question of aid; it is a question of development. The question is if the World Bank and the IMF [International Monetary Fund] are able to come in and help with international funding for productive projects, such as a new electric plant for example, which as we have seen the last couple of weeks is badly needed here. If companies see certainty in the final-status outcome and decide that there is something to invest in here, whether it will be the mines or the agriculture areas that have been identified as places in the economy that can be developed, then that's what is in Kosovo's future. Aid has never developed a place alone. It can help and may be is needed here. But this isn't a question of aid. It is a question of what can Kosovo do to develop economically.


Related Stories About Kosovo:
  • The Legacy Of Ibrahim Rugova
  • Rugova's Death Complicates Final-Status Process
  • Premier Says Independence Shouldn't Be 'Bargained For'
  • U.S. Says Ethnic Albanians Must Demonstrate Good Governance
  • UN Envoy Backs Launch Of Final Status Talks
  • RFE/RL Speaks With UN Special Envoy Kai Eide
 
#######
 
Foreign Policy Research Institute
 
 
E-Notes
Who Wants a Greater Albania?

by Michael Radu

July 10, 1998

Michael Radu, a Senior Fellow at FPRI, is author of Collapse or Decay? Cuba and the East European Transitions from Communism.

CNN’s heart-wrenching images and the New York Times' strident editorials on the suffering of allegedly innocent Albanian civilians in Kosovo at the hands of the ruthless Serbs have the Clinton Administration on the same kind of meaningless rhetorical and diplomatic offensive as it was in Bosnia and Rwanda, Somalia and Haiti. And the results, as in those cases, are predictable: misguided sentimentalism, outrage, and protest; increased but covert costs for Americans; and complete disregard of the implications of bellicose statements and a diminishing foreign policy stick. The most disturbing of those implications, the Administration’s protestations to the contrary, is the inadvertent encouragement by Washington of the creation of a Greater Albania, including Kosovo and areas of Macedonia.

Kosovo, annexed by Serbia in 1912, became a highly autonomous province of the Republic of Serbia under the 1974 Constitution of Yugoslavia— a status it lost in 1989 as a result of Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic’s machinations. Although the more developed Slovenia and Croatia had subsidized Kosovo for decades, the region remained the most backward in the former Yugoslavia. Barely larger than Delaware, Kosovo, even more than Albania itself, largely lacks natural resources. Its young, fast growing, poorly educated, and unskilled population of 2.8 million— 80% of which is ethnic Albanian, 10% Serbian/Montenegrin and the rest of various origins, mostly Gypsy— has no economy to speak of, beyond smuggling, remittances from (mostly illegal) emigrants to Western Europe and the United States, and most recently foreign aid. Simply put, Kosovo is, like Albania, the archetypal social, political and economic basket case— a Haiti in Europe.

Although Kosovo is now largely Albanian, it did not have such a large majority prior to 1912. The high Albanian Muslim fertility rate, in addition to Serbian emigration, helped create the present situation. Nonetheless, Serbian and Montenegrin history, sentiments and geopolitical considerations are all strong reasons as to why Kosovo should remain part of Yugoslavia. Indeed, the religious and cultural roots of medieval Serbian nationhood are to be found in today’s Kosovo: the first Serbian Orthodox Patriarchate at Pec, the great monasteries of Decani and Gracanica, and most importantly, the location of the 1389 lost battle of Kosovo, the source of Serbia’s national mythology.

It is easy to dismiss such emotional attachments as irrelevant or obsolete, just because they come from the Balkans, that motherlode of historic delusions; but it is also dangerous to dismiss Serbian motivations, which are truly nationalistic and involve Serbia’s most revered institution— the Orthodox Church. Not surprisingly, the Belgrade Patriarchate is at the forefront of Serbian and Montenegrin sentiments on Kosovo. Nor are Serbian and Montenegrin fears of the implications of Kosovo irredentism all emotion — an independent Muslim Albanian Kosovo, or a Greater Albania, would probably provoke secessionist pressures in the Sandjak of Novi Pazaar, the largely Muslim area linking Bosnia and Kosovo— enough to bring relatively liberal Montenegro back into the arms of conservative and nationalist Serbia. Then there is the little matter of international law, which recognizes Kosovo as an integral part of Yugoslavia, as do all world governments, including the United States.

On the other side of the ledger are the Albanians, whether the “moderate” followers of Ibrahim Rugova’s Democratic League of Kosovo or those of the increasingly active and violent Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA)— and they all share the same objective— independence as a first step toward joining Albania. The Rugova forces use an increasingly sophisticated public relations campaign, including ubiquitous English language banners during their made-for-TV marches in the capital of Prishtina. The KLA is more direct: it threatens the moderates and, more ominously, it uses civilians as propaganda tools. Its money, arms and ideas come from (mostly illegal) Albanian emigres in Western Europe and the United States, its leaders seem to be former Stalinist followers of the Enver Hoxha regime, and its ideology is a hodgepodge of totalitarianism, ultranationalism, and contempt for the West and its values.

Indeed, from the murky images coming from Kosovo through the double screens of Serbian censorship and Western media emotionalism, it appears that the KLA has selected a risky but so far successful strategy. On the one hand it engages in a hopeless static “defense” of villages against superior Serbian forces, resulting in heavy civilian casualties, and on the other it counts on the usual Serbian brutality to make sure that those casualties are widely known (and exaggerated) abroad — in other words creating victims today for the glory of tomorrow— and for provoking a NATO military intervention. And the glory of tomorrow, for the KLA and Rugova alike, is a Greater Albania, which would include large parts of Macedonia (another fragile and largely fictitious Balkan state with its 600,000 irredentist Albanians) as well. Indeed, the U.S. position only encourages the Kosovo Albanians as well as the violent operators of the KLA to pursue their maximalist goal.

Albania proper can best be described as a Balkan Somalia. Its Western-installed regime, led by the barely reformed ex- Stalinist Fatos Nano, hangs on to the capital by a thread. Smugglers, criminals and local clans, in effect, control most of the country. In fact, foreign aid and smuggling— of drugs, emigrants, weapons and anything else — are Albania’s economy. An Albania almost double the size of today’s would not only intensify the clan conflicts and corruption that have already destroyed the state, but also magnify mass emigration to Italy, provoke further "humanitarian crises,” and require more and more foreign aid. Who needs it? Who needs a Greater Albania? And who will pick up the inevitable bill to keep it afloat?

Officially, the Clinton Administration recognizes that Kosovo is, and should remain part of Serbia/Yugoslavia, and has even declared the KLA a terrorist organization. On the other hand, it makes no secret of its sympathy for Rugova, and for the Albanian government whose weakness and duplicity allow the KLA to exist. More seriously, it threatens the Serbs with dire consequences if they defend their territorial integrity, as they have every right to do. Washington demands the withdrawal of Serbian police from Kosovo, protests the mining of the border with Albania, and forces Belgrade into negotiations with Rugova. Symbolically, during his recent trip to the area, Richard C. Holbrooke, the Administration’s factotum in the Balkans, did not even see fit to meet with Serbian religious leaders in Kosovo— as if they are not a party to the conflict.

How do these attitudes combine with the provisions of the 1975 Helsinki Accords, forbidding territorial changes by force? Seeking a “peaceful solution” in Kosovo may sound good, but the Administration cannot have it both ways— professing respect for recognized borders while at the same time supporting committed irredentists and condemning the state that tries to protect its borders. If Washington has decided that Kosovo should be independent, then it should explain that decision; if not, it should act accordingly.

By manifesting sympathy for the Albanians and threatening Serbia/Yugoslavia with military intervention for using force in Kosovo, the Clinton Administration (like the Bush administration before it) is making impossible negotiations that might lead to the only solution, if there is one, to the Kosovo problem: the region’s autonomy within Serbia/Yugoslavia— i.e., a return to the 1974 old Yugoslav status quo. That would mean forcing Rugova, before KLA completely destroys his political support, to accept a return to the pre-1989 situation. The same should be required from Belgrade. The alternative is more bloody, useless insurgency by Afghan Muslim ideological veterans, Islamic mercenaries, and fanatical volunteers seeking the creation of a Greater Albania, opposed by a brutal, well- armed, and zealous Serbian and Montenegrin state supported by the masses.

The Congress of the United States has the responsibility to ask questions and to compel the Clinton Administration to answer for its decision to push the Serbians into an unacceptable concession of territory to an ethnic group totally incapable of ruling itself, either alone or with its even less prepared brethren across the mountains in Albania and Macedonia. Meanwhile, Americans should be prepared for a protracted diet of selective CNN images of Serbian atrocities against Albanian “innocents” with no corresponding images of Albanian terrorism, no analysis of the implications of a possible KLA victory, and no analysis of the Serbian motivation for resistance.

You may forward this email as you like provided that you send it in its entirety, attribute it to the Foreign Policy Research Institute, and include our web address (www.fpri.org). If you post it on a mailing list, please contact FPRI with the name, location, purpose, and number of recipients of the mailing list.

If you receive this as a forward and would like to be placed directly on our mailing lists, send email to FPRI@fpri.org. Include your name, address, and affiliation. For further information, contact Alan Luxenberg at (215) 732-3774 x105.

#######
 
 
Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaw those Serbians
Sitnews
February 06, 2006
 

VIEWPOINTS

By Iliya Pavlovich

In view of today's conflicts in Kosovo, where Albanian (drug trafficking, prostitution, white slavery funded operations) violence against a Serbian minority is tantamount of danger of being an extinct nation, we make more fuss about the endangered whales, seals, flowers and minerals, and much less about a rarely valuable contributor to our own humanity.

My son was born at St. Vincent's hospital in downtown NYC, Manhattan, Greenwich Village - so by all standards he's an American.

I am not. I was born is Belgrade, Serbia, but being a self-appointed American (by choice) I gave myself many of the "American rights"- (probably various delusions, that I am still trying to decipher).

In my early views on America as a country and a culture (word culture used in a most generous sense), I saw it fit to endow my son with his European heritage, as I was strongly convinced that the greatness of America is derived from the "frontier spirit" that can be found even among more recent immigrants (like myself). It was that "frontier spirit" that always gave you more power, more resilience, more impetus to try new things - and that is why America has produced the most Nobel Prize winners on Earth (probably another one of my partially accurate delusions - but maybe it's not).

Let me try to translate the following into English. This a quote from M. Danojlic's book "Personal things" published 2001:

"Kada se samo setim u sta sam sve verovao, koga sam sve uzimao ozbiljno, sta mi se sve cinilo jasno kao sunce ... Ne, ne odricem se svojih zabluda, naprotiv, samo ih idioti nemaju, i jedino ih podlaci ne priznaju. One su sustastvena iskustva naseg postojanja. Do konacnih i nepomerljivih istina ionako se nikad necemo probiti. Ostaje nam dostojanstveno i posteno suocavanje sa nasim ogranicenjima, posrtanjima i protivrecnostima." (Milovan Danojlic)

translation: "When I only think of all the things I believed in, all the people I took seriously, and it all appeared very clear to me No, no, I'm not reversing my delusions, to the contrary, only idiots can have no delusions, and only the crooked ones will not admit to ever having them. Our delusions are integral parts of our existence. To ever arrive at permanent and final accuracy/truth is most impossible so all we have left is our own weaknesses, our own limitations, our own existence and contradictions with daily stuttering in pursuit of [wider truths]."

We are all entitled to all sorts of delusions and they should be guarded and dear to us. Without those delusions we'd be paralyzed in some small Balkan war laden country with God-only-knows what type of tyrant for president. It is our permanent and mature views that have grown out of uncovering those delusions so it's quite good to have them and work with them, never to entirely suppress them. In the following few paragraphs (and images), I shall offer you two widely opposed views on the same people (Serbians), you can choose which delusion to keep, and which to reject.

Here is a rather simplistic (and possibly partially delusional) view on some Serbians that is vastly unknown (even in Serbia).

Let me give you a visual presentation what my son view when he watches me. Here is the image that my son described to me. My nickname often being "buzdovan" - the large wooden bat with nails as pictured below. Now in all truth, I am 6'4" and one of the shortest guys among my Serbian friends (strangely enough most are 6'5", 6'6" and over) - so we do look like giants and his vision is understood (he is now about 6'4" himself).

Within this colossal image it is hard to see what I determined is a very deeply embedded feeling of justice, democracy, charity and kindness - and they all seem totally incompatible with the images I offered here. Let me give you three small chapters (literature, based on eyewitness accounts, published as fiction):

1. During the Winter of 1915 as the Austro-Hungarian forces (mainly composed of Bosnians, Croats, Checks, Slovaks and other Slavic people in light blue uniforms) were advancing through the North Eastern Serbia (Valjevo, Sabac, Macva region), the peasants came out of their homes and gave the passing occupiers prunes, bread, apples, milk or whatever the little food they had. They spoke a common language and it was later established that the conquering army didn't look like the victorious army of the mighty empire, but rather a the scared common-folk grouped by force of conscription and threatened by the Austrian and German officer staff to go to battle. Serbian villagers had this rarest of human qualities (mercy, charity, forgiveness) called MILOSRDJE, for which there isn't even an adequate word in most languages with a few exceptions (Greek: ELEOS, Hebrew: Gemuilt Chasidim)

2. During the retreat of the Serbian Army (Summer of 1916), a Serbian sentinel surprised a Bulgarian (opponent-enemy) soldier who was taking a rare bath in the nearby river. It turned out that the Bulgarian was a sergeant, while the sentinel was only a private. The two languages are somewhat close and it is very easy for them to understand one another (especially in those times when there were no such new words as: cell-phone, TV-set; download, upload, Internet, etc.). The Bulgarian tells the captor: Batko (brother in Bulgarian) I am wounded and I was trying to wash my wound, how far are you taking me? I may not be able to walk any long distance. The Serbian sentinel puts his captive on the back of his horse and walks him a good 11km (7.5 miles) to Serbian headquarters. As the strange party is arriving the young sentinel sees one of the lead commanders of the Serbian Army, General Stepa Stepanovic (later duke - Vojvoda), pacing in front of his log cabin that served as the staff quarters. A day later the young sentinel is summoned to the General's quarters. He is terrified that he will be reprimanded for having given the captured enemy his horse while he walked on foot. To his amazement the General listened patiently while the private was explaining that the Bulgarian sergeant was wounded and could not walk, so in his view there was no need to further torture the one who is already suffering. The General congratulated the soldier and blessed him with words: "may you and yours be prolific and populous so that the face of our nation is always saved by people like yourself, it is an honor for anybody to be your prisoner, as it is an honor to be your commander"

It took the private a few days to fully understand how did he ever earn such praise as in his view he did the only decent thing he could do and barely had any choice in the matter.

3. From the book "Personal things" from Milovan Danojlic published 2001 same type of events that he recalls in his youth (1944 and 1945) chapter "Nasi i njihovi" (translated as Ours and theirs) page 14 in loose translation:

"Before the communist partisans were consolidating their power in the aftermath of WW2, the Chetniks ruled some villages in Serbia proper and their rule was obeyed. As the most villages had members in both armies that were often opposed to one another as well as to German occupiers, the villagers never knew which side to turn to. At an earlier point in the war the village mayor was close to the author's (Danojlic's) father, who was pro-Chetnik and often had advance notices when the chetnik-troikas would be coming to town, usually in pursuit of their prime enemy (the other Serbians who joined the communist lead partisans). Danojlic states that he was often sent on a clandestine mission by his father with words: "Go to so-and-so, and tell them to hide tonight and tomorrow, while "ours" are here. To the common villager "ours" were closer but "theirs" were not immediately discarded and belittled. Danojlic continues:

"A warning to the non-compliants or "theirs", of the impending doom, to be perpetrated by "ours" was, to me, one of the highest forms of tolerance and a deeply rooted democratic principles. Opposing views were tolerated, even understood and guarded, so that even utopian communism was (as bad as it was) watched after and protected in spite of the prevalent opposing beliefs. The communists in those days were thought of as pro-Russians, hotheads, idealists who keep preaching topics of the impossible justice and unattainable freedoms with non-balanced equality. There are stories that should be told, regardless of veracity and fact-finding."

IN CONCLUSION: The present day Serbia (in spite of my son's imagery) is not some God-forsaken country of mountain goats and giants with medieval torture systems, but a simple group of good-natured people who are probably the closest to the American view on democracy in countless ways. So much was the Clinton implemented NATO bombing of Serbia received as a shock by these peaceful people (true even in the most peaceful people there will be criminals, tyrants and similar bad apples) - but if the society overall is endowed with such strong Christian values and endless generosity, Clinton should have thought twice about his legacy which will stay forever besmirched by those thoughtless acts.

Iliya Pavlovich,
Deerfield Beach, FL - USA

About: Iliya Pavlovich, PhD, sociology, culture, Europe, international relations and a frequent commentator at Baltimore Independent Media Center.

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

February 01, 2006

SN16:Christian Schwarz-Schilling: How to move Bosnia forward

 
International Herald Tribune
How to move Bosnia forward
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2006
 
SARAJEVO, Bosnia-HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina has traveled a long way in the past decade as the country has sought to rebuild itself with international support in the wake of Europe's most devastating conflict since World War II. But progress will only be irreversible when Bosnians take responsibility for the peace process. It is my task as Bosnia's last high representative to oversee the transition from today's quasi-protectorate to local ownership.

The office I have just inherited was created by the Dayton Peace Agreement to oversee implementation of the accord ending the Bosnian War in 1995. In response to massive obstructionism in the first two years of Dayton implementation, the powers of the high representative were augmented at a meeting in December 1997 in Bonn, enabling him to dismiss officials and to impose laws if this was deemed necessary.

In the intervening years, my three immediate predecessors - Carlos Westendorp of Spain, Wolfgang Petritsch of Austria, and Paddy Ashdown of Britain - all made use of these so-called "Bonn powers" to establish the institutions necessary for a viable, modern democracy. In this way, they succeeded in taking the peace process forward.

There are, however, limits to what can be achieved by imposition and these limits have almost certainly been reached.

It is not possible to decree reconciliation, opportunity and prosperity. Institutions that have been created by imposition will never function effectively unless Bosnians of all ethnicities buy in to them and until Bosnian citizens expect them, and not in to international organizations, to deliver reform.

This requires a shift in mind-set both among Bosnians, who have grown accustomed to an intrusive international presence in their country, and within the international community, which has grown accustomed to intervening in all levels of decision making.

One consequence of seeking to avoid using the Bonn powers could be a slowdown in the perceived pace of progress in the coming year. But neither stagnation nor a return to the zero-sum attitudes that once characterized Bosnian politics are inevitable. Indeed, I believe it is possible that Bosnians surprise us and prove to the world that the caricature of their country as a "failed state in Europe" is no longer accurate.

I have traveled through Bosnia for more than a decade, brokering more than 60 mediation agreements on highly sensitive issues, and I have seen impressive changes as a result of the efforts of local people and institutions.

There are huge incentives for success. This year, Bosnia could both sign a stabilization and association agreement with the European Union and join NATO's Partnership-for-Peace program. These are key milestones on the road to European and Euro-Atlantic integration. My office will do what we can to help Bosnia reach these objectives. But to take these processes forward, Bosnia must be a fully sovereign country. That means that I must step back.

Elections in October should provide Bosnians with an opportunity to debate the way forward and to choose leaders who are best equipped to secure their country's European future. For they - not I - will be responsible for negotiating the terms and speed of their country's entry into Europe.

Termination of the office of the high representative - and with it, the Bonn powers - does not signal the end of international engagement in Bosnia. Rather it will herald the beginning of a new chapter in the country's relationship with the wider world and in particular with the rest of Europe. Moreover, I will not leave the country when I cease to be high representative. Instead, I will remain here as a special representative of the European Union to help steer these processes.

Europe has not always done the right thing for Bosnia. I have been acutely aware of this since I resigned from the German government in 1992 in protest of our collective failure in Bosnia. But today tried-and-tested mechanisms, in particular in the form of the European Union's pre-accession negotiations but also NATO's Membership Action Plan, exist to focus the minds of Bosnian leaders on required reforms.

The process of European integration has been remarkable for all countries that today make up the European Union and has helped create unparalleled peace, prosperity and opportunity. It has also helped heal the wounds of the most devastating war the world has known.

Those of us who experienced Europe's darkest days and have lived long enough to see the European Union and NATO grow to include countries that used to be part of the Eastern bloc realize how far and fast it is possible to move when countries are on the right track. While clearly Bosnia still has a long way to go, the goal of eventual membership in these institutions should be sufficiently powerful to help Bosnians overcome divisions and shape their own destiny.

(Christian Schwarz-Schilling is High Representative in Bosnia-Herzegovina.)


The goal of eventual membership in the EU and NATO should be sufficiently powerful to help Bosnians overcome divisions and shape their own destiny.

January 30, 2006

UNSG Annan criticises Kosovo institutions on standardsimplementation

 


UNSG Annan criticises Kosovo institutions on standards implementation 

 

Under the headline Delays in standards can postpone resolution of final status, Koha Ditore carries as the leading front-page story the latest political report on Kosovo done by the UN Secretary General Kofi Annan. According to the paper, the report speaks of delays in the implementation of standards after the start of status negotiations, except for the standards on the Kosovo Protection Corps and the protection of property.

 

“While I welcome preparations on the process of future status, I am very concerned about delays in most areas of standards implementation. The implementation of standards by the political and institutional leaders is an obligation toward the people of Kosovo. I strongly call on Kosovar leaders to enliven their efforts in order to ensure a substantial progress in standards implementation,†UNSG Annan is quoted as saying.

 

According to Koha Ditore, the 8-page political report also criticises the functioning of the Kosovo Assembly and calls for more democratic debate. The report also criticises delays in the appointment of members of the anti-corruption agency.

 

SG Annan said that demonstration of progress in main areas of standards implementation, such as returns, dialogue and decentralisation, can contribute and reduce tensions between the communities. Annan also said that Belgrade authorities must encourage Kosovo Serbs to constructively participate in the provisional institutions of self-government in Kosovo, especially on practical issues.

 

In his report, Annan also called for direct meetings at a higher political and technical level between Pristina and Belgrade, in order to advance the political process.

 

Koha Ditore notes that despite the critical approach toward most areas of standards implementation, the report however also brings about the positive sides. “On the positive side, jobs have been created for minorities in the Central Government and the Kosovo Protection Corps.â€

 

The report also said that work in the reconstruction and preservation of Serb cultural heritage has continued and has become one key point of contact between the provisional institutions and Serb representatives.

 

Commenting on the issue, Koha Ditore editor-in-chief Agron Bajrami notes: “Kofi Annan’s criticism is a warning that delays of processes by the Kosovars can cause a change in the international position vis-à-vis Kosovo, which would not annul the building of the international consensus for giving Kosovo ‘conditional independence’, but could go in favour of conditions in damage of independence.â€

 

January 29, 2006

Belgrade: Nation Defeated And Fragmented, ICG Moves On To Next Battlefield



http://www.b92.net/english/news/index.php?nav_id=33731&style=headlines


Beta (Serbia and Montenegro)
January 27, 2006


Crisis Group closes Belgrade office


-“What tycoons? The ICG is financed by the European Union, George Soros, Bill Gates."


BELGRADE – The International Crisis Group is closing its office in Belgrade, while the office chief, James Lyon, will be staying in Belgrade this year, working as a special advisor for the Balkans.

“You should be happy that we are leaving. We are going somewhere where shots are being fired, and our feeling is that there will be no more shot fired here,” Lyon told daily Blic.

He said that that even though the ICG is leaving, he will be staying in Serbia, adding that the tycoons which he has attacked in the past have not scared him away.

“What tycoons? The ICG is financed by the European Union, George Soros, Bill Gates. None of these people ever put pressure on us to deal with a certain topic.
Tycoons can continue to hang around, we are coming, because this is the plan that I relayed to Tadic, Kostunica and Bulatovic. This we know, it is not new information,” Lyon said.

Nicholas White, director of the ICG’s office in Brussels, said that Lyon’s dismissal has to do with having to decrease the number of employees within the context of calming down regional situation.

“I have found no faults in his work.” White said, adding that the closing of the Belgrade office was planned in 2003, but that the change of plans came as a result of the assassination of prime minister Zoran Djindjic.

January 15, 2006

Another Kosovo Exclusive

 

Another Kosovo Exclusive

On Friday, Balkanalysis.com published an unprecedented interview with a veteran of law enforcement in post-Milosevic Kosovo- Stu Kellock, a Canadian detective and former head of the serious crime unit in Pristina, Kosovo. The Serbian province has been run by a UN administration since the NATO intervention of 1999, as most of you probably know.

In the interview, we get a sense for how trained, professional international investigators and other law enforcement agents within the UN/NATO structures were chronically prevented from targeting local mafia/militant figures with close ties to the nascent political establishment. Numerous other details of interest, for example how American munitions "donated" to a terrorist group might have caused the death of a British journalist in 2001, pop up.

Even for readers already familiar with the situation on the ground, the interview is well worth a read. And, I have to add that it is gratifying to see that the observations of unquestionably impartial professionals such as Mr. Kellock tend to support the case I have made for the past 5 years, that is, that the NATO "humanitarian" intervention was a colossal disaster and the subsequent occupation, a still worse one.

This article represents just a taste of things to come from us this year as we move to survey an ever wider range of informed individuals. The fact that more of them are starting to go on the record too is fantastic, and important, too. Aspiring whistleblowers should always remember that there is strength in numbers!

PS: We received a nice plug in this article on mass-media content theft regarding the UPI plagiarism episode. Thanks to those of you readers who have stood up for us- I appreciate it very much.


Posted by: Christopher Deliso on Jan 15, 06 | 1:05 pm | Comments?link
 
 

January 12, 2006

KOSOVO:. Oliver Ivanovic: �Serbs are not just part of the problem, they�re also part of the solution�




Oliver Ivanovic: “Serbs are not just part of the problem, they’re also part of the solutionâ€Â


Interview by Biserka Ivanović, OSCE Mission in Kosovo

LINK: http://www.antic.org/SNN/oliver_ivanovic.pdf


Merry Christmas, EUFOR-Style

Our Friends, the Peacekeepers

by Nebojsa Malic

Merry Christmas, EUFOR-Style

In the Serbian Orthodox Church, which observes the Julian calendar, Christmas falls on Jan. 7. In occupied Kosovo, the Serb community of Mitrovica marked the holiday with a service in the ruins of a church sacked and destroyed by Albanians while under KFOR "protection." In Pristina, the remaining two dozen Serbs who survived the March 2004 pogrom were forced to endure a saccharine photo-op visit by "Prime Minister of Kosova" Bairam Kosumi, member of the same KLA responsible for their ordeal.

Two days before, in semi-occupied Bosnia, soldiers of the EU military mission raided the family home of Dragomir Abazovic, killing his wife and critically injuring his 11-year-old son.

Death in the Morning

As with most news coming out of the Balkans, it is impossible to tell what exactly took place in a village near Rogatica, eastern Bosnia, on Thursday morning. There is no doubt that Dragomir Abazovic was charged with war crimes in 2001, though not by the Hague Inquisition (ICTY) but by a Bosnian Muslim prosecutor. It is also clear that a detachment of Italian EUFOR troops raided Abazovic's home, and that all three members of the Abazovic family were injured (with Rada Abazovic, 47, dying from her wounds the next day). What actually happened beyond that – and more to the point, why? – remains shrouded in mystery.

According to the protests by Bosnian Serb and Serbian authorities, the raid was an improper and excessive use of force by EUFOR, with Abazovic's son and wife the innocent victims shot by trigger-happy Italians. EUFOR, on the other hand, claims its soldiers acted in self-defense (!), as the Abazovics "fired first and fired repeatedly."

Both Rada (called simply "the woman") and the 11-year-old Dragoljub ("the boy") allegedly fired several clips from automatic weapons (AK-47s) at EUFOR troops, who miraculously suffered no injuries, and dispatched them both with single shots:

"She was immobilized [sic] by a EUFOR soldier with one shot. The boy who had also been firing at EUFOR was also shot and immobilized [sic]."

Apparently, "immobilize" is the newest Empire-speak for "kill," though technically getting shot in the head does tend to, in fact, immobilize someone. In the case of Rada Abazovic, rather permanently – she succumbed to her injuries the same day.

"Courage and Courage"

EUFOR released their statement only after the protests from Banja Luka and Belgrade, outraged – outraged! – that someone dared imply their troops were anything but angelic:

"At all times, EUFOR soldiers acted with courage, restraint and in-self defense [sic] and with courage in the face of great personal danger."

Apparently, mentioning courage just once was not deemed to be enough.

The Imperial press gobbled up the statement without question. "War Crimes Wife Stood by Her Man in Bosnian Shootout," Reuters headlined their story, which essentially accepted EUFOR's statement without question. Nicholas Wood of the New York Times reported it as factual truth. The tone was quickly picked up by other media.

Perhaps the Abazovics really were armed. Many people in Bosnia still keep weapons, mistrustful of the imposed peace and of their neighbors of different ethnicity. But EUFOR's official story smells like week-old roadkill; "the woman" and "the boy" could have been "immobilized" by single shots only if they had poor cover; but if that was the case, how could they have possibly had time to fire several clips of AK-47 ammunition at the assailants, and not hit anything in the process, either?

For the EUFOR story to be true, the Abazovics had to have been both stupid and bad shots, in which case taking them down took little or no "courage."

Cracks in the "Truth"

Ironically, it took a report by the NATO-funded ISN to note that Abazovic was not wanted by the ICTY, but by a local court in the Muslim-Croat Federation, and that EUFOR did not notify local authorities until after the shootout. This directly contradicted EUFOR's claim that they had contacted local police just before coming under fire.

Other questions remain open. Why were EU stormtroopers used in the first place? So far, occupation troops were engaged only in seizing individuals pursued by the Hague Inquisition. Wasn't Abazovic a matter for local police?

Many reports note that Abazovic's indictment dated back to 2001, insinuating that the local police refused to arrest him. It is quite possible that RS authorities could have ignored a warrant issued by their Federal counterparts (especially on such a politically-charged issue as "war crimes"), but this would be a jurisdiction dispute, to be resolved through the newly centralized police structures – not something requiring a morning raid by EU troops.

Last, but not least, why now? Why on the morning before the Orthodox Christmas Eve?

Pattern of Brutality

The mainstream media asked none of these questions. To them, the Abazovics were clearly guilty – EUFOR said so! Dragomir wasn't "accused of war crimes," he was "an indicted war criminal," and his "war crimes wife" got what was coming to her. The son is mentioned only in passing, though the EUFOR made a point of claiming that he, too, had shot at them. Perhaps the public would have a hard time imagining an 11-year-old as a ruthless killer… but then again, he was a Serb; there was plenty of residual propaganda imagery to work with.

This is not to say that Dragomir, Rada, or Dragoljub were pure as driven snow; few – if any – human beings ever are, and in any case, there is no way to know. But no one deserves to be assaulted in their home, whether on a holiday or not, and "immobilized" at the whim of some occupation officer, then smeared and slandered in the world press as a criminal while defenseless and comatose – or dead.

In April 2004, another detachment of "peacekeepers" burst into the house of Fr. Jeremija Starovlah, clubbing the priest, his wife Vitorka, and their son Aleksandar while "looking for war criminals." Confronted with protests from the Serbian Orthodox Church over such brutal treatment of their clergy, SFOR offered an "explanation" for the injuries: they were caused by a concussion grenade used to forcibly enter their home! The press accepted this obviously bogus excuse, dutifully dismissed the Church protests, and buried the incident completely. To the present day, the Starovlahs have not received so much as an apology, let alone compensation.

On several other occasions, Bosnian Serb war crimes suspects (not "indicted war criminals"!) and their relatives have been killed by Imperial stormtroopers – always in "self-defense" or "while attempting to escape," of course. Bosnia's "guardians of peace" have even crashed a funeral wake, hoping to use the death of his mother to catch Ratko Mladic, the wartime military leader of Bosnian Serbs. By presenting the victims of "peacekeeper" force as criminals who had it coming – their guilt presumed, though they've never stood trial – the Imperial press has whitewashed these abuses repeatedly.

Tragedies such as the one in Rogatica, and their media "coverage," will likely happen again, for as long as forces under NATO, EU, or anyone else's command continue spread "democracy" and "rule of law" in Bosnia and elsewhere with methods they would never get away with in their own countries.

Or would they?

 http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=8373

January 05, 2006

Foreign Policy Masochism:

Cato Foreign Policy Briefing No. 19 July 1, 1992

 

Foreign Policy Masochism:
The Campaign for U.S. Intervention in Yugoslavia

by Ted Galen Carpenter

Ted Galen Carpenter is director of foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute.

 

Executive Summary

Foreign policy experts, media pundits, and congressional leaders are calling with increasing frequency for the United States to intervene militarily in the Yugoslavian conflict. Although the Bush administration has wisely resisted such proposals, it has slowly escalated the U.S. political and diplomatic role and thereby increased the danger of a subsequent military entanglement. Leading administration officials also seem to be weakening in their resolve to keep out of the fray.

Those who urge the United States to become involved in the turmoil taking place in the Balkans embrace a reckless policy. Military intervention would almost certainly result in the loss of American lives and create a host of long-term political risks and burdens without even the hope of offsetting tangible benefits. The ethnic conflicts convulsing Yugoslavia result from long-standing animosities that are impervious to solutions imposed from the outside. In that sense, Yugoslavia is a larger and more dangerous version of Lebanon.

Equally important, there is no need for the United States to become entangled in the fighting. Yugoslavia has never been a vital interest of the United States, and contrary to some of the superheated rhetoric of interventionists, the region is a geopolitical backwater in the post-Cold War era. The outcome of the fighting will not have a significant impact even on the European, much less the global, balance of power and, therefore, does not warrant U.S. action. Although the bloodletting is undoubtedly tragic, it does not serve the best interests of the American people to have this country become a participant in the carnage.

Background to the Conflict

For those who believed that the end of the Cold War signaled the "end of history" and the onset of an era marked by stability and peace, the war in Yugoslavia has produced a rude reality check. In retrospect, the wonder is not that such an artificial political entity as Yugoslavia finally unraveled but that it held together for so long. That "nation," created by the victors in World War I from the wreckage of the Austro-Hungarian empire, was little more than an unstable amalgam of feuding ethnic groups. Despite the rhetoric about "South Slav" solidarity, there were few factors that promoted unity or even the most tenuous sense of nationhood.

The inherent instability of Yugoslavia was obscured for a time, but it became all too apparent during World War II when many Croats, who had suffered at the hands of the Serbdominated monarchy during the interwar years, became willing allies of Nazi Germany's occupation forces against the Serbs and others of their countrymen. That collaboration led to acts of genocide in which as many as 500,000 Serbs (as well as 200,000 members of other ethnic groups) perished. Yugoslavia's fragile unity was restored after World War II only because communist dictator Josip Broz, known as Marshal Tito, ruthlessly suppressed any manifestations of ethnic separatism as a challenge to the supremacy of the governing party and his own authority.

Tito's repressive regime submerged but in no way resolved the bitter divisions in Yugoslavian society. The collective presidency that succeeded Tito on his death in 1980 grew increasingly ineffectual, and separatist sentiments quickly resurfaced. The mounting crisis became acute in June 1991 when the republics of Slovenia and Croatia declared their independence from the tottering federation. Fighting between secessionist forces and the Serb-dominated Yugoslav military (supported by Serbian militias operating inside Croatia) erupted immediately. Although the conflict slowly subsided in Croatia (after the Serbs seized large chunks of territory) and the contending parties reached a cease-fire agreement enforced by UN peace-keeping units, an even more ferocious struggle began when the republic of Bosnia-Herzegovina declared its independence in February 1992. Serbian-led forces soon seized more than two-thirds of Bosnia's territory and besieged the capital of Sarajevo.

Calls for U.S. Intervention

As the fighting in Yugoslavia has intensified, calling for a U.S.-led intervention has become a growth industry for American opinion makers. Enthusiasm for drastic action spans the political spectrum. Occasionally, it is couched in terms of stopping the fighting without prejudging the underlying political and territorial disputes, but more typically Serbia is cast as a brutal aggressor that must be stopped.

The conservative Center for Security Policy, headed by former assistant secretary of defense Frank R. Gaffney, Jr., is the most passionate advocate of a military crusade in the Balkans. A May 29 study issued by the center insists that "there is only one way to stop the carnage in the former Yugoslavia--by denying Serbia the fruits of its aggression." Achieving that goal requires that "Serbian-led forces occupying areas of Croatia and Bosnia-Hercegovina must be expelled--by force if necessary." Neither the European Community nor its leading powers, France and Germany, will be capable of taking decisive action, according to the CSP. "There is, in fact, only one organization capable of taking on and successfully executing this daunting task: NATO. Only the Alliance has the dedicated, highly trained and rapidly deployable forces needed to thwart [Serbian president Slobodan] Milosevic's hegemonic designs." The CSP does acknowledge that "there would inevitably be casualties, and the possibility of a wider war cannot be excluded" but insists that "the downsides of NATO intervention pale beside the dangers for the continent, and Western interests, sure to arise if a communist/nationalist despot remains effectively unchecked in his barbaric effort to secure territory and consolidate his power through aggression."(1)

The editors of the Washington Times are only slightly less bellicose. "Much has been made of the prospect that U.S. and NATO troops could be bogged down in a Lebanon-like quagmire," they note. "It is not inconceivable, however, that naval and air operations could have a highly salutary effect without necessarily involving NATO ground troops." Indeed, the Times editors carry their hopes for intervention-on-the-cheap to an extreme. A "little saber-rattling might bring it home to the Serbian people . . . that they have a stake in stopping the bloodshed. A few low-flying jets shattering window panes in Belgrade might put things into perspective."(2)

Centrist and liberal figures have likewise been beating the drums for a U.S.-led military expedition to the Balkans. Liberal columnist Anthony Lewis has repeatedly called for intervention on "humanitarian" grounds.(3) He also shares the Washington Times hope that air power can be a panacea, asserting that there is "a way for the United States and the [European] Community to act effectively without undue risk of being embroiled in military action on the ground. That is to take command of the air."(4) Fellow New York Times columnist Leslie H. Gelb urges the West to pursue a military solution quickly, although he too shrinks from the consequences of a ground war. "To begin with, NATO should announce that it will use its air power to close the skies to Serbian military aircraft. And then, act if necessary. If that does not stop the fighting, NATO should announce it will strike Serbian airfields and military bases. And then, do so if necessary." The deployment of ground forces, he concedes, should be avoided if possible, although "NATO would be wise to discuss this issue in detail."(5)

Unfortunately, sentiment for military action is not confined to media pundits and think tank experts. Sen. Richard Lugar (R-Ind.), the second-ranking Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, has recently urged the Bush administration to assume a more vigorous leadership role in the Balkans crisis. Specifically, he wants the administration to orchestrate a UN resolution authorizing the use of force against Serbia and then to press the NATO allies to carry out that resolution if Serbia does not end its military operations.(6) Several Senate colleagues, in- cluding Carl Levin (D-Mich.), Sam Nunn (D-Ga.), Joseph Biden (D-Del.), Larry Pressler (R-S.D.), Joseph Lieberman (D- Conn.), and minority leader Robert Dole (R-Kans.) have echoed Lugar's calls for possible coercive measures.(7)

The presence of prominent mainstream political figures in the military intervention camp is especially worrisome. Bush administration officials may not be able to ignore the mounting pressure for action, particularly when it comes from such influential GOP congressional leaders as Lugar and Dole. Indeed, there are already troubling indications that the administration's determination to avoid being sucked into the Yugoslavian turmoil is beginning to weaken. That should not be surprising. Having invoked the grandiose vision of a new world order to justify the Persian Gulf War, administration leaders are now vulnerable to accusations of hypocrisy if they fail to take action against aggression in the Balkans. Senator Lieberman epitomized the reasoning of those who took the new world order rationale seriously when he said, "It is time to draw another line--this time in the Balkans--and to say that Milosevic's aggression will not stand."(8)

The Bush Administration's Drift toward War

From the beginning of the Yugoslavian crisis in 1991, the president and his principal advisers have sought to influence events while minimizing the risk of direct U.S. involvement. Initially, the administration urged the feuding parties to keep the Yugoslavian federation intact, a policy that was widely perceived as "tilting" toward hardline elements in Belgrade.(9) The declarations of independence by Slovenia and Croatia in June 1991 and the fighting that immediately ensued demonstrated the futility of that approach. Under pressure from the members of the European Community to let Europeans attempt to deal with a European crisis, Washington then adopted a relatively low profile, expressing support for most EC initiatives but not vigorously pushing measures of its own.(10)

The U.S. role has slowly become more prominent as the European Community's efforts to defuse the crisis have proven ineffective. Washington strongly backed an EC initiative in the United Nations to impose an arms embargo on Yugoslavia in late 1991. More recently, the United States appeared to be the leading force behind a UN Security Council resolution imposing on Yugoslavia comprehensive economic sanctions, including a ban on air travel, the freezing of assets abroad, and an oil embargo.(11) That move represented a significant elevation of the U.S. political profile.

Nevertheless, the administration has thus far resisted suggestions that the United States become militarily involved. One reason may be crass political considerations; the White House is understandably nervous about the unpredictable consequences of a foreign policy imbroglio in an election year. But there are more substantive motives as well. Most military leaders scoff at the optimistic belief of civilians that air power alone would obviate the need for ground forces. Senior military officials are reportedly fearful that a U.S.-led intervention could easily turn into a costly and bloody enterprise. They note that the United States would have few of the advantages (e.g., desert terrain, an easily identifiable enemy, and the adversary's military units deployed in a static conventional mode) that it enjoyed in Operation Desert Storm. Instead, it would face the prospect of guerrilla warfare, urban street fighting, and an extraordinarily difficult task of telling friend from foe. Military experts point out that Yugoslavia has had a history of guerrilla conflicts (most notably in World War II when resistance forces gave the German occupation army fits) and that the Serbian militias are well equipped and well trained to conduct that style of warfare on a long- term basis. One unnamed Army officer accurately likened Yugoslavia to "two parts Lebanon and one part Vietnam."(12)

There is a growing danger, however, that the administration's incremental actions may be carrying the United States toward military involvement. For example, Washington flatly refused to contribute U.S. personnel to a UN peace-keeping force that was sent to Croatia in December 1991 to implement a cease-fire between the warring factions. By June 1992, though, the administration agreed "conditionally" to participate in UN operations to airlift supplies into the besieged Bosnian capital of Sarajevo, if a cease-fire could be arranged.(13) More ominously, U.S. officials have refused to rule out U.S. involvement in military action to pacify Yugoslavia--although they stress that there are "no current plans" for such steps. Recent statements by Secretary of State James A. Baker III and National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft even suggest that the administration is now seriously contemplating intervention.(14) Scowcroft's assertion that the fighting poses a security threat to the "Euro- Atlantic community" is especially ominous.

"Moral" Rationales for Intervention

Proponents of U.S. intervention in the Yugoslavian conflict stress humanitarian reasons, contending that the United States has a moral obligation to stop the fighting. Anthony Lewis, for example, evokes the image of the terrified civilians of Sarajevo: "shells falling on apartment houses, mosques and churches; civilians huddled in dark basements, occasionally braving the shells to go out in search of food and water. Such scenes have not been seen in Europe since 1945."(15)

It is hard not to sympathize with the desire to halt the suffering Lewis describes. (It is curious, however, that at the same time the slaughter goes on in Yugoslavia, thousands of lives are also being lost in internecine warfare in such places as Somalia, Sri Lanka, and Sudan, and there are no comparable calls for massive external military intervention. Are the lives of Croats and Bosnians more valuable?) In any case, U.S. foreign policy must be based on sober calculations of the costs and risks of intervention. Humanitarian impulses, however genuine, cannot justify a dangerous and unwise military adventure.

There is little reason to believe that outside intervention would resolve the Yugoslavian tragedy. The ethnic and religious animosities in the Balkans go back centuries, and there are dimensions to the current Serb-Croat or Serb- Moslem Slav bloodletting that are barely comprehensible to outsiders. It is the height of arrogance to assume that a U.S., NATO, or UN occupation force will induce the warring factions to settle their disputes peacefully. The disastrous experience of the U.S.-led multinational peace-keeping force in faction-ridden Lebanon in 1982-83 should make American officials doubly wary of blundering into a similar situation.

Humanitarian arguments for intervention are frequently accompanied by simplistic caricatures of the complex political struggle in Yugoslavia. The Center for Security Policy, for example, has described the conflict as "the naked aggression of totalitarian forces," and the "Serbs' heinous rape of Croatia."(16) Serbian president Milosevic, the designated villain in this morality play, has been labeled "the communist despot of Serbia," a "brigand and a fanatic," and "the butcher of the Balkans."(17) Some even call for convening an international tribunal to put him on trial for crimes against humanity.

The interventionists' bias is evident in many ways. They repeatedly cite evidence of atrocities committed by the Serb-dominated Yugoslavian army or the various Serbian militias operating in Croatia and Bosnia, yet they ignore evidence of Croat atrocities. Milosevic's authoritarian practices, which are indeed odious, are highlighted, while those of Croatia's president Franjo Tudjman are glossed over. Yet the Tudjman regime's mistreatment of Croatia's Serbian minority (even before the onset of fighting), its harassment of political critics, and its cynical willingness to negotiate a partition of Bosnia with Serbian authorities are a matter of record.(18) The conflict in Yugoslavia is far from a Manichean struggle between good and evil; it is a moral muddle with an ample quantity of villainy on all sides.

Consistent with their oversimplification of the virtues and faults of the combatants, most interventionists do not merely advocate military action against Serbia; they also want international guarantees of the prewar boundaries of Croatia and Bosnia.(19) Such an obsession with restoring the status quo ante is ill-conceived. The territorial configuration of the former Yugoslavian republics has little correlation with the distribution of various ethnic groups. In particular, the preconflict boundaries would leave large Serbian minorities in both Croatia and Bosnia--as well as a sizable Croatian minority in Bosnia. Moreover, the internal boundaries of Yugoslavia have weak historical roots; they were imposed by Tito shortly after he came to power in the mid-1940s.(20)

Insisting on the inviolability of the pre-civil war frontiers would inevitably maximize instability, human rights violations, and festering grievances for decades to come. Of course, in an ideal world people would be judged as individuals, not as members of ethnic or religious groups, and they would enjoy equal rights. As desirable as that moral principle may be, however, it is does not correspond to the current or prospective state of affairs in the Balkans. Any hope for lasting stability and coexistence will require as much territorial adjustment as can be achieved in a region that is an ethnic mosaic to minimize the problem of ethnic minorities. Moreover, some of those adjustments are likely to come through the use of force, since governments seldom voluntarily give up territory under their jurisdiction. Again, the point is not whether the agenda of any particular party is right or wrong; it is that neither the United States nor any other external power is capable of sorting out the competing claims and imposing its will. Any attempt to do so will only make the intervenor the target of whatever faction or factions feel aggrieved at the outcome.

National Interest Rationales for Intervention

The moral case for U.S. military intervention is flimsy, but the argument that America has important interests at stake in the Yugoslavian conflict is still weaker. It is difficult to make even a plausible case for intervention on national interest grounds. Yugoslavia does not have any valuable commodity, such as oil. Consequently, it is not possible to foment fears of supply cutoffs or economic "strangleholds," as the Bush administration did so effectively to generate support for its Persian Gulf crusade. None of the Yugoslavian republics is poised to become armed with nuclear weapons as Iraq supposedly was. And with the end of the Cold War, Serbia cannot be portrayed as a surrogate of America's superpower enemy.

To come up with a justification based on national interest, proponents of intervention must rely, almost by default, on vague warnings of instability and a "wider war" that could (somehow) threaten America's security. One tactic is to invoke potent memories. Some even go so far as to use the shopworn Munich analogy. Former president Richard Nixon, for example, observes that some people, "to para- phrase Neville Chamberlain," insist that Croatia is a small, faraway nation about which we know little.(21) The Munich analogy, however, apparently seems far-fetched even to most interventionists. It is a little difficult to credibly portray tiny Serbia (population 9 million) as the equivalent of Nazi Germany.

A more popular historical rallying cry is the supposed analogy with World War I--a crisis in the Balkans led to a global conflagration. Columnist Paul Greenberg notes ominously, "If there is any doubt about the threat to world peace" posed by the fighting, "the dateline on many of these stories out of a dissolving Yugoslavia should be sufficient warning: SARAJEVO. . . ."(22) Scowcroft used similar imagery, intoning, "The Balkans are the Balkans, and Sarajevo has a history that we should forget only at our peril."(23)

On a somewhat more substantive level, Jenonne Walker, a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, warns that Eastern Europe "is full of potential conflicts," and Western inaction in the Balkans could set a dangerous precedent. Anthony Lewis fears that a failure to stop "ethnic aggression" in Yugoslavia "may lead to the unraveling of peace in Albania, Greece, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania, and parts of the former Soviet Union." Leslie Gelb is equally apocalyptic, arguing that the conflict in Bosnia "could ignite wider Balkan wars and even broader regional bloodshed with calamitous consequences for Europe and the ex-Soviet world."(24)

Averting an Unnecessary Entanglement

Such arguments miss several important points. The more expansive predictions of doom are little more than updated versions of the discredited domino theory of the 1950s and 1960s. Contrary to the alarmist scenarios, local conflicts rarely become continent-wide (much less global) conflagrations. Expansionist powers are typically contained by coalitions of other regional actors.(25) The need for intervention by an external great power is the exception, not the rule. It is certainly possible that the fighting in Croatia and Bosnia may spread to other portions of the Balkans. The desire of ethnic Albanians in Serbia's Kosovo province to cast off Serbian domination and territorial disputes involving another Yugoslav republic, Macedonia, are the two most probable catalysts.(26) Nevertheless, those would still be regional problems, not global crises.

Sarajevo has no mystical significance, nor do the Balkans have inherent strategic or geopolitical importance. A crisis in the Balkans led to World War I not because of the region's intrinsic value (which was as minimal then as it is now) but because the major European powers foolishly identified their own vital interests with the outcome of its parochial conflicts. As the RAND Corporation's Benjamin Schwarz correctly observes, "The fuse for that war was lit in Sarajevo not because ethnic conflict existed in what is now Yugoslavia, but because great powers meddled in those conflicts."(27) That ought to be a pertinent lesson for today's advocates of U.S. intervention.

Interference in the Yugoslavian conflict would be premature as well as unrewarding. In the event that the fighting spreads to the point that it becomes a more significant and dangerous regional problem, a military response should come from the members of the European Community, not the United States. During the Cold War, it was at least possible to argue that U.S. political and military leadership was indispensable; that only a superpower could neutralize the threat posed by another superpower. That argument no longer has any relevance. It strains credulity to the breaking point to contend that the European Community cannot handle a security threat created by disorder in Yugoslavia. A region with a collective population of 340 million, a gross national product of $6 trillion, and military forces numbering more than 2.2 million active-duty personnel certainly has the wherewithal to deal with a problem of that magnitude.(28)

If policy differences among key members of the European Community preclude intervention, or if the members deliberately adopt a strategy of inaction because they believe the risks outweigh any potential benefits, the community must be prepared to live with the consequences.(29) Yugoslavia is much closer and more relevant to the EC nations than it is to the United States. Under no circumstances should Washington consider military intervention, either as a unilateral mission or as a multilateral enterprise through NATO or the United Nations. There are no U.S. security interests at stake that even remotely reach the threshold of importance needed to justify the costs and risks. U.S. involvement in the intractable, parochial conflicts of the Balkans would be an exercise in foreign policy masochism.

Notes

(1) Center for Security Policy, "Blessed Are the Peacemakers: Troops--Not Sanctions--Needed to Halt Yugoslav Carnage," Decision Brief no. 92-D 57, May 29, 1992, pp. 3, 4.

(2) "What Will Stop Serbia?" editorial, Washington Times, June 12, 1992, p. F-2.

(3) Anthony Lewis, "The New World Order," New York Times, May 17, 1992, p. E-17; and Anthony Lewis, "Weakness and Shame," New York Times, June 14, 1992, p. E-19.

(4) Lewis, "The New World Order."

(5) Leslie H. Gelb, "A Balkan Plan," New York Times, June 1, 1992, p. A-17.

(6) "Senate Urges U.S. Action," New York Times, June 11, 1992, p. A-6; and Warren Strobel, "U.S. May Back Use of Force to Aid Sarajevo," Washington Times, June 11, 1992, p. A-1. For another example of the position that stops just short of advocating immediate intervention--arguing instead that the United States should "consider" intervention and make prepa rations for it--see the comments of American Enterprise Institute resident scholar Patrick Glynn. "Possible Western Military Intervention in the Former Yugoslavia," Testimony before the Subcommittee on European Affairs, Committee on Foreign Relations, U.S. Senate, June 11, 1992, typescript, pp. 5-7.

(7) Levin and Dole, along with Sen. Alfonse D'Amato (R-N.Y.) and Senate majority leader George Mitchell (D-Maine) even introduced a resolution calling on the president to urge the UN Security Council to provide a plan and budget for possible military intervention. S. Res. 306, typescript, p. 4.

(8) Quoted in Doyle McManus and Michael Ross, "U.S. Warns of Security Threat in Yugoslav War," Los Angeles Times, June 23, 1992, p. A-1. For a discussion of the implications of Bush's new world order rhetoric for U.S. foreign policy, see Chris topher Layne, "Tragedy in the Balkans. So What?" New York Times, May 29, 1992, p. A-29.

(9) The most prominent examples were Secretary of State James A. Baker's June 21 remarks in Belgrade condemning secession ist efforts and the June 25 State Department statement "de ploring" the unilateral declarations of independence by Slovenia and Croatia. Thomas L. Friedman, "Baker Urges End to Yugoslav Rift," New York Times, June 22, 1991, p. A-1; and David Binder, "U.S. Deplores Moves," New York Times, June 26, 1991, p. A-7.

(10) Washington still had not abandoned hope of salvaging Yugoslavia as a political entity, however. As late as Decem ber 1991, the Bush administration vehemently opposed Ger many's decision to recognize the independence of Croatia and Slovenia.

(11) Paul Lewis, "U.S. Seeks Full Ban on Yugoslav Trade by the UN Council," New York Times, May 29, 1992, p. A-1.

(12) Barton Gellman, "Defense Planners Making Case against Intervention in Yugoslavia," Washington Post, June 13, 1992, p. A-16.

(13) John M. Goshko and Trevor Rowe, "U.S. Agrees Conditional ly to Participate in Sarajevo Airlift," Washington Post, June 17, 1992, p. A-27.

(14) McManus and Ross; and Don Oberdorfer, "New U.S. Sanctions Imposed on Serbia," Washington Post, June 24, 1992, p. A-21.

(15) Lewis, "Weakness and Shame."

(16) Center for Security Policy, "For Whom the Bell Tolls: The Serbian Dress-Rehearsal for the Coming Crisis in Europe," Decision Brief no. 91-D 77, August 13, 1991, p. 1; and Center for Security Policy, "'Accessory to a Crime': U.S. Recogni tion Policy toward Croatia Empowers Serbian Aggressors," Decision Brief no. 92-D 6, January 20, 1992, p. 2.

(17) Center for Security Policy, "'Tired of Killing Each Oth er...': Eagleburger Statement Shows Depth of Administration's Error in Yugoslav Crisis," Decision Brief no. 92-D 47, May 1, 1992, p. 1; James L. Graff, "The Butcher of the Balkans," Time, June 8, 1992, pp. 37-38; and "Stop the Butcher of the Balkans," editorial, New York Times, April 15, 1992, p. A-26. In a similar vein, Sen. Larry Pressler (R-S.D.) states that "the Serbian regime is engaged in an immoral, illegal, and despicable war of conquest." U.S. Senate, Foreign Relations Subcommittee on European Affairs, Statement by Larry Pressler, June 11, 1992, typescript, p. 1.

(18) For discussions of Tudjman's increasingly autocratic rule, see David Martin, "Croatia's Borders: Over the Edge," New York Times, November 22, 1991, p. A-31; and Andrew Borowiec, "Tudjman's Rule Strains Croatia's Frail Democracy," Washington Times, June 18, 1992, p. A-8. Even the former U.S. ambassador to Yugoslavia, Warren Zimmermann, concedes that Tudjman has made "some very bad mistakes," such as mistreating Serbs in Croatia and advocating the partition of Bosnia between Croatia and Serbia. David Binder, "Haunted by What the U.S. Didn't Do in Yugoslavia," New York Times, June 14, 1992, p. E-9.

(19) See, for example, "Pariah State," editorial, Washington Post, May 29, 1992, p. A-22, which insisted that a political solution must be based "on the territorial inviolability of all the former Yugoslavia's states." Center for Security Policy, "Blessed are the Peacemakers," likewise advocates restoration of "the various republics' preconflict territori al boundaries" (p. 4). Columnist Gwynne Dyer even argues that by admitting Croatia and Bosnia as members, the United Nations "implicitly committed itself to defending their existing legal borders." Gwynne Dyer, "Putting Borders Back," Washington Times, June 10, 1992, p. G-4.

(20) For a concise discussion of this point, see Martin, "Croatia's Borders."

(21) Richard M. Nixon, "How the West Can Bring Peace to Yugo slavia," Wall Street Journal, December 17, 1991.

(22) Paul Greenberg, "Where They Never Learn," Washington Times, June 3, 1992, p. G-3. That point also seems to im press Anthony Lewis, who observes that "this terrible century began its downward slide 78 years ago in Sarajevo." Anthony Lewis, "The New World Order."

(23) Quoted in McManus and Ross.

(24) Jenonne Walker, "Statement on the Use of Force in Bosnia," Submitted to the Foreign Relations Committee, U.S. Senate, June 11, 1992, typescript, p. 1; Lewis, "Weakness and Shame"; and Gelb, "A Balkan Plan."

(25) The best comprehensive discussion of that process can be found in Stephen M. Walt, The Origins of Alliances (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1987).

(26) For a discussion of the historical roots of the many Balkans disputes, especially those involving Macedonia, see Robert D. Kaplan, "History's Cauldron," Atlantic, June 1991, pp. 93-104.

(27) Benjamin Schwarz, "Leave the Little Wars Alone," Los Angeles Times, June 8, 1992, p. B-5.

(28) In addition, Turkey, which would have an obvious interest in dampening a wider Balkans conflict, has more than 579,000 active-duty personnel to support an EC intervention.

(29) On the reasons for the European Community's caution to this point, see James E. Goodby, "Peacekeeping in the New Europe," Washington Quarterly 15 (Spring 1992): 155-62. British Foreign Secretary Douglas Hurd, citing London's frustrating experience in Northern Ireland, warned his EC colleagues of two points when considering military interven tion: it is easier to put troops in than to get them out, and the scale of effort at the start bears no resemblance to the scale of effort later on. Hurd's comments suggest that EC inaction has been due less to incompetence (the assessment of U.S. critics) than prudence.

© 1992 The Cato Institute
Please send comments to
webmaster

January 03, 2006

Serbia praised over trials of alleged war criminals

 

  International Herald Tribune

Serbia praised over trials of alleged war criminals
By Nicholas Wood International Herald Tribune
TUESDAY, JANUARY 3, 2006

BELGRADE Slowly, Serbia is prosecuting some of the war crimes committed during the Kosovo fighting of 1999, even while it has failed to deliver key suspects to the tribunal in The Hague.
 
Seven cases have been brought to trial, five in a war crimes court that has been partly financed by the U.S. government.
 
Prosecutors and others say the trials suggest that the country is beginning, at least tentatively, to acknowledge its history.
 
These trials have highlighted some of the most brutal acts perpetrated by the Serb forces during wars in Croatia, Bosnia, and finally Kosovo, in which they tried to carve out territory that for ethnic Serbs. The crimes range from the executions in 1991 of 192 Croatian men taken from the hospital in which they were seeking refuge, in the town of Vukovar, to the massacre of an extended Albanian family in Kosovo in 1999, when 45 people, including 14 children, a pregnant mother and a 90-year-old woman, were blown up by grenades and then shot.
 
"It points to the readiness of the state and judiciary to face the past," said Dragoljub Stankovic, one of five deputy prosecutors assigned to Serbia's war crimes department, of the trials.
 
Despite such praise from prosecutors, as well as victims' families and human rights groups, there are major omissions in the legal process. While the tribunal in The Hague has indicted senior Serb police and army officers for crimes committed during the 1999 Kosovo conflict, the Serbian courts have focused on mid-ranking officers, according to human rights groups and diplomats here. As a result, they say, a large group of senior officers has not been challenged about its role in the war.
 
And a prominent case, involving the killings of three Americans brothers in 1999, appears to be stuck.
 
"In my opinion, many commanders of police stations were involving or ordered killings in Kosovo," said Natasa Kandic, a lawyer and the director of the Humanitarian Law Center, a Belgrade-based human rights advocacy group.
 
A number of senior police and army officers accused by human rights groups of ordering the crimes, or failing to prevent them, have remained at their posts.
 
They include Goran Radosavljevic, who before becoming the commander of the Serbian Gendarmerie led Serbia's special units during the Kosovo campaign, and the senior police officer in charge of war crimes investigations, Vozdan Gagic. Gagic was a member of the joint police and army command during the Kosovo campaign, a position in which, Kandic said, he would have known about war crimes taking place.
 
"It was impossible for him not to know," Kandic said.
 
Radosavljevic and Gagic have denied any involvement in war crimes.
 
"The army and the police are powerful, and barely reformed, institutions," said Bogdan Ivanisevic, director of Human Rights Watch here. "Addressing the responsibility of the senior officers would be quite a bite for the prosecutors, something they could do only if they felt supported by the government."
 
The case of the Americans involves the Bytyqi brothers, from Long Island, who were found in a mass grave, their hands bound and bullet wounds to the backs of their heads. They were found in 2001 buried near a police training camp. The three brothers were ethnic Albanians who had gone to fight along with about 400 other Albanian Americans in the 1999 conflict in Kosovo.
 
Prosecutors say Ylli, Agron and Mehmet Bytyqi, who were in their early 20s, were held by Serbian police after they strayed across Kosovo's boundary into Serbia on June 26, 1999, just weeks after the end of the Kosovo conflict. They were ordered jailed for 15 days, but in the middle of the sentence two members of a special police unit came to remove them to their training camp, according to testimony given to prosecutors by Sreten Popovic, then deputy commander of the camp.
 
Popovic said he acted after hearing from Serbia's assistant minister for internal affairs, General Vlastimir Djordjevic. Popovic has escaped prosecution and is now commander of the Gendarmerie in Nis, Serbia's third-largest city.
 
Officials at the U.S. Embassy in Belgrade believe the brothers were killed because they were American and members of the Kosovo Liberation Army. They say prosecutors have sufficient evidence to bring the case to trial.
 
The State Department under secretary for political affairs, R. Nicholas Burns, recently said that the outcome of the investigation would influence the U.S. government's view as to Serbia's willingness to handle domestic war crimes cases. "It is time to bring the perpetrators to justice," he said.
 
 

http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/01/03/news/serbia.php

IHT Copyright © 2006 The International Herald Tribune | www.iht.com