January 30, 2020

Montenegro's Corrupt Party of Socialists Is Killing the Country

nationalinterest.org

Montenegro's Corrupt Party of Socialists Is Killing the Country

by Gordon N. Bardos

9-12 minutes


Largely unnoticed in the wake of events in the Middle-East and the impeachment drama, another crisis is brewing in the Balkans. In Montenegro, thousands of people have been protesting a new law passed by the Montenegrin parliament and signed into effect by the country's longtime strongman, Milo Djukanovic, which gives the government authority over properties that religious organizations in the country have been using for at least a century. Evidence of the problems the controversial new law creates can be seen in the widespread condemnation it has received from individuals such as Pope Francis, Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew, and Russian Orthodox Patriarch Kiril.

Djukanovic's motives are fairly transparent. Economically, the new law allows Djukanovic's kleptocracy to take control of hundreds of properties used by the Serbian Orthodox Church while simultaneously politically weakening the only organized institution left in Montenegro capable of posing a serious threat to his rule. (Public opinion polls show that the Serbian Orthodox Church in Montenegro by far enjoys more trust than the country's president, government, parliament or judiciary.)

Ultimately, Djukanovic's plan is to turn over church properties with no economic value to an uncanonical organization under his control, led by a defrocked charlatan fond of hitting old women.

The current protests in Montenegro, however, are only a symptom of a conflict that has been long in the making. Remarkably, NATO's newest member is the only former communist European country that has never had a democratic transition. Even in Belarus and Russia communists have been out of power for at least one electoral cycle. But Djukanovic's ruling Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS), which is just the renamed Montenegrin League of Communists, has been in power continuously since 1945.

To put this longevity in some perspective, Djukanovic's DPS has been in power longer than the Bolsheviks ruled the Soviet Union, and Djukanovic himself has been in power longer than Stalin.

Djukanovic has managed to stay in power so long by constantly reinventing himself and changing with the times. In 1991, as a protégé of Slobodan Milosevic, Djukanovic ordered the bombardment of Dubrovnik. Yet today, there are people in Washington who hail Djukanovic as an "elder statesman," and he is feted in Washington's foreign policy salons. In 2014, Joe Biden welcomed him to the White House. 

While enjoying so much popularity in Washington, however, Djukanovic has turned Montenegro into his feudal fiefdom. As a recent New York Times article put it:

[Djukanovic]. . . is now the longest-serving leader in Europe, in power longer than both Vladimir V. Putin in Russia and Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Turkey . . . The president's sister is the nation's top lawyer, helping foreign investors join in the building boom sweeping across the coast. His brother owns First Bank, the country's largest financial institution. His son runs the country's biggest power plant. His nephew is involved in the country's largest tourism projects.

Thanks to such machinations, as Moisés Naim has argued, Djukanovic has turned Montenegro into a "mafia state." Thus, according to Naim, leading government officials are actually "integral players in, if not the leaders of, criminal enterprises, and the defense and promotion of those enterprises become official priorities . . . the national interest and the interests of organized crime are now inextricably intertwined." Indeed, one prominent democratic opposition figure in Montenegro has aptly called Djukanovic's system-of-rule "Montenegrin Putinism."

In 2015, Djukanovic's success in turning Montenegro into a mafia state led to his being named "Man of the Year in Organized Crime" by an international anti-corruption watchdog group. As the award announcement noted, "this as a lifetime achievement award." Nobody outside of Putin has run a state that relies so heavily on corruption, organized crime and dirty politics. It is truly and thoroughly rotten to the core.

An audit of the Djukanovic family bank by Price Waterhouse Coopers has revealed one of the many mechanisms by which corruption in Montenegro operated. First, public funds were deposited with First Bank, which then provided loans to Djukanovic associates and well-known organized crime figures, such as Darko Saric, a prominent Balkan drug dealer. Another tactic has been for Djukanovic cronies to acquire state-owned enterprises, fleece them of their value, and then declare them legally insolvent. According to one report, by November 2015, 89 percent of the state-owned enterprises that had been privatized by Djukanovic had reportedly gone bankrupt.

Apart from financial corruption, Djukanovic has used various means of illegal electoral engineering to stay in power. These tactics have run the gamut from voter fraud to blackmail, demobilizing potential opposition voters, fear-mongering, threatening police violence, and outright vote-buying. Anti-corruption watchdogs believe up to 15 percent of the votes in the October 2016 elections were fraudulent.

Lastly, attacks on independent media and critical voices have also been a hallmark of Djukanovic's system of rule. Djukanovic once said that investigative journalists should be "exterminated like mice," and someone in Montenegro clearly got the message. In 2004, the editor of the opposition newsmagazine Dan was assassinated. In August 2013, investigative journalist Tufik Softic was the target of a bombing attack. In December 2013, an explosive device was detonated outside the offices of Vijesti, an independent daily in Podgorica. In October 2015, Jovo Martinovic, a journalist covering Montenegro's organized crime scene, was jailed for fifteen months on trumped-up drug-smuggling charges. In April 2018, a car bomb exploded outside the home of investigative journalist Saed Sadikovic. In May 2018, Olivera Lakic, a journalist reporting on corruption, was shot outside her apartment in Podgorica.

Yet despite this organized terror campaign the country's independent media, Reporters Sans Frontieres would note in December 2018 that  "All of the attacks on journalists in the past two years have gone unpunished."

Apart from outright physical attacks, Djukanovic and his surrogates also resort to various smear campaigns against their opponents. For people who think that Donald Trump's comments about women are beyond the pale, Djukanovic takes things even lower. In 2015, Djukanovic launched an attack against one of Montenegro's leading anti-corruption activists, Vanja Calovic, literally accusing her of having sex with dogs. To its credit, the U.S. Embassy in Podgorica named her "The Most Courageous Woman in Montenegro" in 2016.

As evident from the above, the nature of Djukanovic's rule has ranged from the depraved to the corrupt. At times, however, it has also been farcical. The primary example of this was seen in the events surrounding the so-called "Russian-backed coup plot" in Montenegro in October 2016.  

Indeed, the story of the so-called Russian-backed coup attempt becomes more absurd the more one analyzes it. It is worth noting, for instance, that the alleged coup attempt was at least the third such "attack on the state" that has happened on the eve of elections in Montenegro in recent years. And the absurdities just compound from there.

The alleged organizer of the coup, Sasa Sindjelic, was a high-school drop-out wanted for murder in Croatia who hadn't been to Montenegro in fifteen years. Yet the GRU supposedly tasked such a marginal figure to organize a coup (on three week's notice) against a regime that had been in power for some three decades. Not surprisingly, in March 2019, Sindjelic renounced his testimony altogether, revealing that the story had been coerced out of him after twenty-three days in solitary confinement and numerous beatings.

The other central actor in the alleged plot, Mirko Velimirovic also renounced his story in April 2017, after which he had a serious "car accident" and decided it would be better for his health to testify again. Yet under cross-examination his testimony quickly fell apart; Velimirovic, for instance, could not identify the weapons he had allegedly bought (and which have never been produced), nor could he identify the mysterious Albanian black marketeer he supposedly bought the weapons from.

The other alleged participants in this third-rate Balkan cabaret were similarly farcical; as one report put it, most of those arrested were "elderly and in ill-health." The comedic highpoint of the proceedings came with the testimony of an alleged coup-plotter (in real life a self-confessed drug addict), who was tasked with breaking windows and throwing Molotov cocktails at a political party headquarters—but he got the address wrong. During his confused testimony, the alleged coup-plotter claimed, "Actually, I don't even know what I was supposed to do. The only people I know here work for the government."

Surprisingly, considering the supposedly grave danger facing the country, neither the interior minister, nor the defense minister, nor Montenegro's Council for National Security were informed about such an unprecedented threat. Nor did Montenegrin officials inform NATO that they had discovered a Russian-backed plot against their country. Even Djukanović said that he only found out about the alleged affair from media reports. As Montenegro's interior minister himself noted somewhat incredulously in the days after the discovery of the alleged coup attempt was made public "There has not been a meeting of the government or of the Council for National Security, the state president has said that he does not want to comment, the prime minister said that he does not know anything about it or that he does not have enough information . . . I have to admit that this is a very specific 'coup d'etat'."

 

January 23, 2020

The Illusion of Russian Influence in the Western Balkans

theglobepost.com

The Illusion of Russian Influence in the Western Balkans

Visar Xhambazi

6-7 minutes


In the absence of a clear E.U. integration perspective, Albania, Serbia, and North Macedonia have decided to take matters into their own hands and initiate their version of regional cooperation known as "mini Schengen." Two other Balkan countries, Montenegro and Bosnia and Herzegovina, have stated their reservations, while Kosovo has rejected the idea altogether.

Kosovo based its refusal to participate primarily on its relationship with Serbia and Belgrade's lack of recognition of Kosovo as an independent state. In addition, Kosovo's Prime Minister, Ramush Haradinaj, said that the "mini Schengen" initiative would pave the way for more Russian influence in the region.

However, amid political statements, the evidence says otherwise. Russia does not have the capability nor the propensity to meddle in the Balkans. While there is an opportunity, the reality is that Moscow has little to offer.

Furthermore, the Western Balkans is surrounded by E.U. and NATO members and is over a thousand miles away from Russia, leaving Moscow without direct access to the region. Finally, Russia's economy is largely based on the energy sector, and in this respect, the country has little to offer to the developing nations of the Balkans.

Unfavorable Geography

Russia relinquished its security mechanisms to NATO when the last peacekeepers left Kosovo and Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2003. Since then, Moscow's regional interests have been focused mainly on preventing the remaining Balkan countries from joining NATO.

To this end, Russia attempted to stage a coup in Montenegro in 2018 and tried to prevent the name agreement between Greece and North Macedonia to jeopardize their chances of joining NATO. Yet so far, Russia's disruption strategy has proved unsuccessful. Montenegro is NATO's newest member, while North Macedonia is expected to join this year.

Consequently, Russia's influence is limited to "near abroad" countries, referring to the independent republics that emerged after the 1991 Soviet Union dissolution. Moscow's annexation of Ukraine's Crimea and Georgia's Abkhazia and South Ossetia – countries that traditionally had close ties to Russia – is a strong indicator that Russian foreign policy priorities focus predominantly on neighbors rather than the Balkans.

Limited Soft Power

Russia's inability to project influence in the Balkans further stems from the fact that its persuasion methods are focused on historical symbolism such as Christian Orthodoxy and Pan-Slavism, factors that are losing significance in the Balkan region.

While Russian disinformation remains potent, leaders in the Balkans are cautious and do not seem to trust Moscow's intentions. The country's effectiveness is limited to disinformation and attempting to disrupt E.U. reforms by halting the region's democratic advancement and aspirations to join the E.U. and NATO.

Security Facade

Serbia remains Russia's sole friend in the region and the only country that regularly participates in Russian military drills. Serbia shows enormous support for "big brother" Russia, and it is the only Balkan country that refuses to join sanctions against Moscow for the annexation of Crimea.

However, Serbia's close ties to Russia have not stopped the country from pursuing E.U. membership and quietly cozying up to NATO. While Belgrade constantly professes its determination to never join the alliance, cooperation between Serbia and NATO is on the rise. In 2019, Serbia conducted 17 military exercises with other countries, 13 of which were with NATO members and only four with Russia.

And while Russia handed over five MiG-29 fighter jets to Serbia in 2017, these were second-hand aircraft and to fully operationalize them, Serbia has to spend around 200 million euros.

Lack of Economic Incentives

 Russia's main economic interest lies within the energy sector, but it has started to lose that battle too. In 2007, Russia initiated its most ambitious plan in the region, the South Stream gas pipeline, which was to stretch from the Black Sea into the Balkans. The initiative failed because it was not economically viable.

In terms of trade, Russian exports to each Western Balkan country do not exceed 2 percent, except for Serbia which is around 5 percent.

More recently, China has emerged as a serious actor in the region. It is now among the top five markets for imports in most of the region's countries, while Russia enjoys that status only in Serbia.

Chinese Influence 

In the last few years, the Western Balkans have been witnessing a massive increase in Chinese investments (millions in infrastructure and telecommunications projects), something that Russia cannot offer.

China has been spending money to gain influence rapidly, taking advantage of the poor investment climate by providing loans and consequently ensuring long-term dependency. In this respect, China faces little resistance from the small and developing Balkan states.

Chinese President Xi Jinping. Photo: AFP

Russian influence in the Balkans is exaggerated. Its method of persuasion through religious and ethnic symbolism is outdated and Moscow cannot compete with other actors to provide effective economic and technological advancement in the region.

As Russian influence slowly starts to fade away, Europe and the West should be more concerned with the growing Chinese influence in the Balkans and how this will affect its relationship with the region.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of The Globe Post.

 

January 22, 2020

27 years since Croatian massacre Maslenica that killed 348 Serbs, destroying their homes

telegraf.rs

27 years since Croatian massacre Maslenica that killed 348 Serbs, destroying their homes

5-6 minutes


22/01/20 |  11:50    11:54

Operation Maslenica was planned and executed by Janko Bobetko, Ante Gotovina, Ante Roso, Mirko Norac and Mladen Markac, with the knowledge and approval of Franjo Tudjman, then president of the republic and commander-in-chief of the Croatian Army

Foto: Profimedia/AFP

On January 22, 1993, the Croatian Army carried out an aggression, codenamed "Maslenica", against the southern parts of the Republic of Serb Krajina (RSK).

The aggression was carried out during the implementation of the Vance Plan, which a year earlier put the RSK under the protection of the UN peacekeeping force (UNPROFOR). It was Croatia's third aggression against an area protected by the UN, an organization that it had joined 2 years earlier.

Over the next few days, the Croatian armed forces managed to occupy several tens of square kilometers in Ravni Kotari, including the Zemunik Airport, several heights on Mt. Velebit, and take control of the Peruca dam and hydroelectric power plant.

Three Serb villages were the most affected by this aggression: Islam Grcki, Kasic and Smokovic, as well as ethnically mixed villages: Murvica, Crno, Zemunik Gornji, Poljica and Islam Latinski. Serbs from the villages mentioned were killed, driven out or taken to prisons and camps, Banija.rs reports.

 

Photo: Guliver/Peter Turnley/Corbis/VCG via Getty Images

Their rich faming households were looted, devastated and destroyed, cultural monuments, cemeteries and churches devastated, desecrated or demolished, among them Dvori Jankovic Stojana in Islam Grcki with a small church dedicated to St. George (Georgije) (consecrated in 1675), in which the famous writer Vladan Desnica was buried, and the church of St. George (consecrated in 1567) in Smokovic and St. Ilija (consecrated 1872) in Kasic.

According to the organization Veritas and its records, 348 Serbs, 55 civilians, with an average age of 60, were killed or went missing in this aggression. The victims include 34 women, with an average age of 57 and three children under 12. Among the victims are 65 volunteers from Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina who came to Ravni Kotari to help local Serbs defend their centuries-old homes. Out of the total number of victims so far, the fate of 337 persons has been clarified, while 11 more are kept on the register as missing persons, of which 6 are civilians, including 3 women.

In the next few months, 165 persons more died, mostly the elderly. More than ten thousand Serbs were driven out from the aforementioned villages, to be displaced all over the world.

 

Photo: Guliver/Peter Turnley/Corbis/VCG via Getty Images

One of the gravest crimes, already on the first day of the aggression, happened at the Mali Alan pass on Mt. Velebit, near an UNPROFOR observation post, when members of Croatia's Special Police "Alfa" ambushed, killed and massacred 22 members of the Serb Krajina Army (SVK) from the area of ​​Gracac. This massacre was committed by members of the 5th Alfa squad, commanded by Milijan Brkic aka Vaso, currently deputy leader of the HDZ party and vice-president of the Croatian parliament.

Operation Maslenica was planned and executed by Janko Bobetko, Ante Gotovina, Ante Roso, Mirko Norac and Mladen Markac, with the knowledge and approval of Franjo Tudjman, then president of the republic and commander-in-chief of the Croatian Army who were already or subsequently promoted to the rank of general.

 

Photo: Profimedia/AFP

During this aggression, the Velebit sector artillery chief was a Kosovo Albanian, who until 1991 served in the Yugoslav People's Army (JNA): Agim Ceku. (Ssince 1999 he served as KLA commander and then of Kosovo Security Force, and was also prime minister and minister of security forces). Ceku's mortars, due to indiscriminate shelling of Benkovac and Obrovac municipalities, killed the most civilians.

Although the aggression was carried out against a UN protected zone and before the eyes of many UNPROFOR members, nobody has been prosecuted for crimes against Serbs committed in this operation either in international or in domestic courts, writes Banija.rs.

Video: How Operation Storm changed Knin?

(Telegraf.rs/Banija.rs)

 

November 03, 2019

Are the Balkans splitting the EU apart?

jpost.com

Are the Balkans splitting the EU apart?

7-9 minutes


 

European Union flags flutter as people take part in the demonstration "One Europe for all", a rally against nationalism across the European Union, in Vienna, Austria, May 19, 2019.. (photo credit: LISI NIESNER)

The European Union is going through a serious internal crisis over the prospects of its further expansion, with the main line of confrontation running between Paris and Berlin.

On October 15, France, backed by Denmark and the Netherlands, blocked the EU's decision to start negotiations concerning the admission of Albania and Northern Macedonia. Germany and other EU members opposed the move as unfounded, citing previous decisions by the European Commission.

This split at the very top of the 28-member bloc could seriously undermine its status in the eyes of the Balkan states, and force them to shift their foreign policy priorities and possibly turn toward Russia and its integration mechanisms.

The news of the decision by France, the Netherlands and Denmark to block the previous EU decision to start admission talks with the two Balkan states, citing the slow pace of their reforms, followed the EU foreign ministers' meeting in Luxembourg. The three countries opposed the start of negotiations with Albania, and France's position concerning similar talks with Northern Macedonia was equally negative.

Paris also insisted on a fundamental reform of the EU's accession process. Germany and other EU members disagreed, arguing that in late May, the European Commission had found Albania and Northern Macedonia fully in line with EU conditions and ready to engage in EU accession talks with Brussels. Moreover, Brussels's promise to start such negotiations is clearly mentioned in the list of official decisions made by the European Union.

At the same time, Brussels uses a differentiated approach to Balkan countries' applications for membership, with EU Commissioner for European Neighborhood Policy and Enlargement Johannes Hahn speaking against inviting Serbia and Montenegro to start negotiations, arguing that they should make "more efforts to protect the rule of law."

Naturally enough, the Balkan counties were disappointed by this decision. Just a few days before the Luxembourg meeting, the leaders of Albania, Northern Macedonia and Serbia gathered in the Serbian city of Novi Pazar, accusing Brussels of ignoring their interests. The most influential institute of the Balkans, IFIMES, published its report before the critical decision in Brussels took place, calling it "grave mistake."

Briefing reporters after the meeting, Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama called on his colleagues from Northern Macedonia and Albania to work out a foreign policy agenda without waiting for tips from Brussels.

"There has been no change in the agenda of our international partners, but the format of relations that we are building has changed, as we are not waiting for the EU to find time to pay attention. Let's be honest, we are not a priority for the EU, because they prioritize their own reforms. We cannot expect to become a priority for the EU, but we are still able to promote more active and organized cooperation," Rama said.

Northern Macedonia's Prime Minister Zoran Zaev and Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic see the creation of a visa-free zone in the Balkans – "a small Schengen" – as one example of such cooperation. This is sending a clear message to Brussels to consider a situation where even such EU members as Bulgaria, Romania and Croatia still remain outside the pan-European visa-free space.

POLAND, WHICH is the Balkan candidate states' most active ally in the EU, has fairly tense relations with the big shots in Brussels. During a recent meeting of the leaders of the Visegrad Group (Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and the Czech Republic) held in the Czech city of Lany and attended by the Slovenian and Serbian leaders, Polish President Andrzej Duda described the start of EU accession talks with Northern Macedonia and Albania as "a litmus test that will show how open the EU really is." He said that both these Baltic nations had already met all the necessary criteria for admission to the European Union, and emphasized that Warsaw, for its part, favored Europe with "open doors," which is the only way to ensure the EU's peaceful and peaceful development.

This position is fully shared by Germany, with Minister of State for Europe at the Federal Foreign Office Michael Roth telling the newspaper Die Welt, "Albania and Northern Macedonia have done their homework. In recent years, they have been outstandingly successful all across the board fulfilling all the prerequisites for starting negotiations. They need to be rewarded for this, and this is exactly what the Bundestag did in an unambiguous vote. I am sure that the terms proposed by the Bundestag will convince others in the EU to green-light the start of the EU accession talks."

He added, "The EU's decision is being watched very closely, not only by those in Albania and Northern Macedonia, but in the whole region as well. The EU must show that reform efforts are encouraged. Any further postponement would seriously undermine confidence in the EU, with negative consequences for peace and stability in the region." He also voiced fears that a political vacuum would result in Russia, China, Turkey, the countries of the Near East and Middle East coming to the region.

In his seminal work on five historic Europes, Prof. Anis H. Bajrektarevic notes, "The inner unionistic equilibrium will be maintained only if the Atlantic-Central Europe skilfully calibrates and balances its own equidistance from both assertive Russia and the omnipresent US. Any alternative to the EU at present is a grand accommodation of either France or of Germany with Russia. This means a return to Europe of the 18th, 19th and early 20th centuries – namely, direct confrontations over the Continent's core sectors, perpetual animosities wars and destructions. Both Russia and the US have demonstrated ability for a skillful and persistent conduct of international affairs, passions and visions to fight for their agendas. It is time for Brussels to live up to its idea, and to show the same. Biology and geopolitics share one basic rule: Comply or die."

Therefore, the latest events in Brussels are yet another indication of serious undermining of the European Union's role in the Balkans. That surely opens wide the space for other key players, above all Russia, China and the United States. Therefore, Moscow needs to develop a more clear-cut concept of its own interests and goals in the region and ways of its implementation, always mindful of the local geopolitical situation and the time-tested traditions of Russian-Balkan cooperation.

The writer is a senior researcher attached to the Russian Academy of Science, Institute of Slavic Studies (modern political history analysis).

 

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November 02, 2019

The Diary of Diana Budisavljević: An untold story of World War II - Emerging Europe

emerging-europe.com

The Diary of Diana Budisavljević: An untold story of World War II - Emerging Europe | News, Intelligence, Community

Dominik Istrate

3-4 minutes


A film chronicling the unique and heartbreaking story of Diana Budisavljević, who saved thousands of children in Croatia during World War II, has been causing a stir around the world ever since its release earlier this year. On November 7, it comes to Belgrade.

The Diary of Diana Budisavljević tells the story of a Croatian woman, who as a true humanitarian, rescued more than 15,000 children from the hands of the Ustasha, Croatia's brutal, ultra-nationalist wartime government.

Directed by Dana Budisavljević, a descendant of the protagonist, the movie depicts the cruel reality of wartime Zagreb, Croatian concentration camps, how children try to survive in the unbelievable reality of war and how much mothers are able to fight for their sons and daughters.

An ethnic Serb, Diana Budisavljević – together with the assistance of a German officer and the Croatian Jewish community – saved more than 15,500 children, although 3,200 died after being rescued due to the ill treatment they had received in the Ustasha camps.

Despite her gargantuan efforts however, Diana Budisavljević's name has almost been forgotten, primarily because the Yugoslav communists ignored what she had accomplished.

Fortunately, Mrs Budisavljević kept a careful record of what she did. Her diary, however, was rather a "work report" – as she preferred to call it – rather than an actual summary of her experience: it contained no emotions, feelings and storytelling, only names, photos and personal data which she hoped to use to reunite the children with their parents. At the end of the war, the diary was confiscated and was lost for decades.

The task of interpreting Mrs Budisavljević's story on screen fell to Croatian actress Alma Prica.

"We owe the greatest gratitude to her granddaughter, Sylvia, who preserved the diary and translated it from German," she told the Croatian press, adding that "Diana's endeavours, saving thousands of children, not of any particular nationality or religion, but thousands of human lives, are an act of kindness that restores hope in our world."

The film's director Dana Budisavljević has already won several awards, notably at the Pula Film Festival for the astonishing historical drama General, a movie about former Croatian general Ante Gotovina.

"When I see the reactions to the movie, I feel very small and humble. I hope that this movie will help us to understand our history realistically, without lies," she says.

The Diary of Diana Budisavljević will be screened at the Free Zone (Slobodna Zona) Film Festival in Belgrade between November 7 and November 12. Learn more about the festival here. Photo: Pula Film Festival

 

October 25, 2019

Vucic: EU’s decision on Albania and N.Macedonia justifies Serbia’s close relations to Russia and China

top-channel.tv

Vucic: EU's decision on Albania and N.Macedonia justifies Serbia's close relations to Russia and China

1 minute


While Europe is concerned about the constantly increasing influence of Russia and China in Western Balkan, the Serbian President, Alexandar Vucic, said that the refusal to open the EU accession negotiations with Albania and Northern Macedonia justifies his policies to stay open with the other powers, Russia and China.

In an interview for the Financial Times, Vucic says that the decision of the EU, regardless of the reforms made by the countries, justifies his policy to stay close to Russia and China.

"We cannot be depending on the next decision of the European Council, or by what the Dutch or Danish government will do", Vucic declared.

Top Channel

 

October 24, 2019

Palmer: EUCO sends wrong message to Balkans - whatever you do, may not be enough

rs.n1info.com

Palmer: EUCO sends wrong message to Balkans - whatever you do, may not be enough

Author: VOA

3 minutes


Matthew Palmer, Deputy Assistant Secretary at US Department of State - Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs and Washington's special envoy to Western Balkans, said on Thursday that one of the reasons why the European Council (EUCO) decision not to open the accession talks with Albania and North Macedonia was discouraging, was because it sent a wrong message to both Belgrade and Pristina – you can settle difficult issues, you can reach a compromise, but nevertheless you can be denied access to Europe, the Voice of America (VOA) reported.

Palmer said he expected a new government in Pristina to lift the 100 percent import tariffs on goods from Serbia and Bosnia, while  Belgrade should stop its campaign against Kosovo's membership to the international organisations.

He added that he and Richard Grenell, the White House representative for the Belgrade – Pristina dialogue, would work together to normalise Kosovo – Serbia relations.

Addressing the Senate's Sub-Committee for Europe and Regional Security Cooperation, Palmer said a new Kosovo cabinet would be the first without any former members of the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), adding he hoped that would be a good incentive.

Palmer also said he was in constant communication with Grenell who was interested in economic empowerment and believed that could bring the two sides closer in the dialogue.

"I think that ambassador Grenell will pressure both sides to act quickly. They now have the White House's attention, a full focus not only from the administration but also from the White House and the President (Donald Trump)," Palmer said.

"That," he added, "is a beneficial instrument which won't be available forever. And to use it, the sides must show they're ready to act quickly to reach agreements, to implement them and to show they're committed to the reconciliation and normalisation as we are."

Palmer said the European Union remained the chief mediator and the US did not have any formal role in the dialogue itself.

"We are here; we support the process and encourage the parties to reach that agreement. However, we want them to be aware of what is offered, why is it essential to find a solution on normalisation."

He added that support to the Balkans was not enough and said America should increase its presence and investments in the region.        

 

October 16, 2019

"They expected me to agree, I didn't: FRY bombing and recognizing Kosovo - a mistake"

b92.net

"They expected me to agree, I didn't: FRY bombing and recognizing Kosovo - a mistake"

5-6 minutes


Retired Canadian General, former UNPROFOR Commander in Sarajevo, Lewis MacKenzie, reiterates that FRY bombing and recognition of Kosovo were "insane"

Source: Tanjug Wednesday, October 16, 2019 | 08:39

Ilustracija: Depositphotos/ Yarr65

Retired Canadian General, former UNPROFOR Commander in Sarajevo, Lewis MacKenzie, comes to Belgrade on the forthcoming Belgrade Book Fair, in order to promote Serbian edition of his book entitled: "Peacekeeper: The Road to Sarajevo", written 26 years ago, that was a bestseller in Canada.

In an interview for "Politika" daily, he reiterates his views, for which he was often criticized in his country and, above all, in Bosnia-Herzegovina, that genocide was not committed in Srebrenica, but a war crime, that the release of the Hague commander of Bosniak forces in Srebrenica, Naser Oric, is shameful, and that 1999 air raids on Serbia and the recognition of Kosovo are a big mistake, "insanity".

MacKenzie was UNPROFOR Commander for Sarajevo Sector from 1992 until June 1993 when the Sarajevo authorities requested his replacement.

"They expected me to agree with them on all issues... As my mandate meant being impartial and objective, they were very upset by my comments on particular issues", MacKenzie says.

The Canadian General, who after retiring and returning from Sarajevo in 1997, served briefly as Canada's Deputy Prime Minister, opposed NATO bombing of Serbia and criticized his government for recognizing Kosovo's unilaterally declared independence.

"The truth will always upset those who have a different opinion. With the development that took place after the air raids, it is clear that the insane decision to bomb a sovereign country and recognize Kosovo's independence has created a problem, rather than solved it", MacKenzie concluded.

 

October 14, 2019

Enlargement yes, but why…

neweurope.eu

Enlargement yes, but why…

3-4 minutes


Western Balkan countries are anxious to get a date to start entry negotiations and this is good because most of the countries of the former Yugoslavia suffered a lot in the last three decades. The ex-Yugoslav republics endured through several catastrophic wars, mainly in Serbia and Bosnia, which decimated infrastructure, killed civilians and put societies back centuries. Some 15 years ago, I was in Bosnia's capital Sarajevo for a few days and I was impressed by three things – There were very few people who were middle aged as most were killed by shelling and sharpshooters; many young people in their late twenties were walking around missing limbs; but most importantly, all were full of hope for the future.

I found no Eurosceptics in Sarajevo. They were all looking at the European Union as the promise land and all had forgotten that, in the case of the Serbs, the bombers which killed their parents were departing from a NATO airbase in Aviano, Italy. When I asked a hairdresser, who was working with one hand, she said, "If we want to look at the future, we have to forget the past".

They were survivors, strong and determined.

The people of the Western Balkans now expect the EU to give them a date to start the process of joining the union. The Bosnians and Serbs that suffered from the war deserve it; not of Albania and Montenegro. Those two countries were flourishing in the 1990s as drugs and counterfeit goods flooded into and out of both nations. In the case of North Macedonia, it opted for self-imposed isolation under the pretext of the name dispute with Greece. This was done to remain outside the reach of external interference and would institutionalise North Macedonian corruption and dubious Austrian investments in casinos near the Greek border.

The purpose of the enlargement is only geopolitical only, as was the previous big enlargement in 2004. It aims at containing Russia from taking advantage of the "strategic vacuum" in the troubled region by gaining a strong foothold in the Balkans, the soft underbelly of Europe.

Albania, Montenegro, and North Macedonia are, however, already NATO members. As a a consequence, the Russians, who had a certain presence and influence in the last two, disappeared from the area overnight.

What remains to be addressed to completely eliminate the Russian presence form Southeast Europe – the real purpose of the present enlargement – is to get Serbia and Bosnia in the bloc, as it is not easy to get them into NATO. In this context, we should mention the French interest in the resolution of the Kosovo conflict and the state visit to Belgrade by French President Emmanuel Macron in July this year.

 

October 11, 2019

Serbia’s President PR: Tough meeting with Grenell, Vucic takes minutes himself

rs.n1info.com

Serbia's President PR: Tough meeting with Grenell, Vucic takes minutes himself

Author: Beta

2 minutes


Suzana Vasiljevic, Serbia's President Aleksandar Vucic media advisor, said on Friday the meeting with Richard Grenell, the US head of state Donald Trump's envoy to Kosovo, was challenging, but could not go into the details of the talks, the Beta news agency reported.

Speaking to the Prva TV, Vasiljevic said the two spoke alone in the first ten minutes, after which the head of Serbia's Government Office for Kosovo Marko Djuric joined the meeting.

"What is unusual is that the President was taking notes himself for the first time. The talks were apparently extremely tough and he (Vucic) was not in a mood to talk about it even with us," Vasiljevic said.

She added it happened before that meetings, especially with the Kosovo issue on the agenda, were difficult, but never so tough that the President didn't want to talk about it with his associates, and decided to take some time to think about that and about the way how to say what would be a solution he had heard from Grenell.

After meeting with Grenell, a statement from his office said Vucic told the envoy that a compromise, which would be in the interest of stability and the future of the whole region, could be achieved with the respect of Serbia's legitimate interests.

The statement quoted Grenell as saying the two sides would have to "cooperate closely and quickly, looking at the future."    

 

October 07, 2019

Belgrade to take the lead : Interview with Dejan Ralevic

neweurope.eu

Belgrade to take the lead : Interview with Dejan Ralevic

7-8 minutes


Interview with Dejan Ralevic, Serbia's Deputy Assistant Minister for EU Affairs

After having gained the backing of four European Union members from Eastern Europe for accelerated accession talks, Serbia's point man for EU affairs sat down to talk with New Europe about the enlargement process and what he thinks will be the next stage in Serbia's integration process with the European Union and why Belgrade must continue to be a leader in the Western Balkans, as well as why he believes Serbia will be the next nation in the region to become a full member of the bloc.

New Europe (NE): What is the current status regarding EU accession negotiations with Serbia? Is the pace of the negotiations moving quickly or slowly and what are the obstacles that have been encountered?

Dejan Ralevic (DR): No doubt, the first country to be the next European Union member will be Serbia. Whether it will join alone or together with some other country is less important. Our commitment to EU membership is unquestionable. It is the same as the EU's readiness to admit Serbia with full membership. Above all, EU membership is Serbia's strategic interest in view of the fact that the European Union is by far our largest trading and business partner. Moreover, many of our citizens live in EU countries, do business or receive education there, or travel to those countries. It is also because Serbia is geographically and culturally a part of Europe.

Serbia's negotiations with Brussels about full membership are well underway. So far, we've opened 17 out of 35 negotiating chapters and have provisionally closed two. I do have to note, however, that we are not pleased with the current pace of the negotiations. Come January, it will be six years since we started the accession negotiations and we expected a faster progress. We are probably partly to blame for not going faster, but I am convinced that the European Union is even more responsible for failing to conduct the negotiations more decisively and more dynamically and thus truly reaffirm its often restated readiness to admit Serbia as a fully-fledged member.

Serbia's accession has been somewhat slowed due to internal reasons within the EU. This could be on account of Brexit or disagreements in connection with the overall operation of the European institutions, as well as the elections for the European Parliament and the formation of the Commission, which is still ongoing. We are not the only ones saying that Europe should have been faster in working together with Serbia and other Balkan countries. Many European officials, including Federica Mogherini, have confirmed that. Almost two years ago, she admitted that the Brussels neglected the Balkans and that it needed to be more invested in its integration.

Dejan Ralevic with the Executive Director of the International Visegrad Fund, Andor David.Twitter

NE: When will Serbia join the EU?

DR: Even though we can safely say that the first country to be the next EU member will be Serbia, since it has indisputably gone the farthest down that road, it is impossible to say precisely when this will actually happen. We are prepared to progress much faster and we contend that we could have opened many more negotiating chapters so far, but the people in Brussels obviously felt differently. It is unhelpful to speculate when exactly, whether it will be 2024 or 2025, or even a bit later, it is difficult to say. We are not going to make any wild guesses. Our priority is to undertake steady and in-depth reform of our legislation, institutions, and economy so that they are in line with the criteria set by the EU. We are taking into consideration that this is primarily in our own interest and in the interest of our citizens.

Full EU membership will happen, but it is not a goal in itself. We are committed to achieving daily goals and we seek to turn Serbia into a modern European state. We are not biding our time.

NE: What activities have you undertaken towards regional integration in the meantime?

Having recognised the EU's hesitance regarding the integration of Serbia and other Balkan countries, we have launched a number of regional connectivity initiatives to avoid wasting time and energy. In the most recent few years, Serbia has been doing a job that the European Union should be doing. Serbia wants to compensate for the obvious stagnation in the European integration process by strengthening the integration among the Balkan countries themselves as well as in our immediate neighbourhood.

As the largest and most influential country of the Balkans, Serbia is in favour of integration and connectivity. We are open to this and encourage others to be responsive in this regard, as well. After all, one of Europe's most important expectations for the region is to strengthen intra-regional cooperation. With this aim in mind, Serbia, and most notably President Aleksandar Vučić, have initiated a number of steps over the past few years to make the ties among the Balkan countries much more solid than they are today. Some of these steps were not favourably received, such as the initiative for the establishment of a customs union, but we are not giving up.

At the initiative of President Vučić, discussions will commence in the coming days between Serbia, Albania, and North Macedonia on the removal of customs barriers between our states. Our economic cooperation has been excellent, but there are still too many hurdles related to customs and customs administration. As a result, we have all suffered major financial losses.

To solve this, we put forward the following proposal – let's facilitate cross-border traffic of goods. We need not wait for Europe to do this for us given that we foster good-neighbourly relations, which means an agreement can be easily reached. I am confident that this will be a success and that Serbia, Albania, and North Macedonia will, in this way, open up a perspective for similar models throughout the Balkans. We have also been putting in significant efforts with our friends in Bulgaria, Romania, and Greece in the framework of the Craiova Group towards the strengthening of our economic and cultural ties in this context.

Overall, Serbia has been at the forefront of both the integration processes and initiatives in the Balkans. We oppose and fight against blockades and walls that are regrettably still being erected. I am referring to the brutal 100% tariffs that the Pristina authorities imposed a year ago on goods originating from Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina. The whole world has condemned this adventurous move and called for putting an end to the tariffs, but sadly, to no avail as this wall remains untouched. This is something we cannot accept.

Serbia will continue to extend its hand to all in the region as this is our interest, but also a kind of an obligation and expectation of the largest and most stable country in the Balkans.    

 

October 04, 2019

Trump appoints US ambassador to Germany as special envoy for Serbia-Kosovo talks

rs.n1info.com

Trump appoints US ambassador to Germany as special envoy for Serbia-Kosovo talks

Author: Beta

2 minutes


President Donald Trump has appointed US Ambassador to Germany Richard Grenell as his special envoy for the Belgrade-Pristina dialogue, the Beta news agency reported on Friday, quoting a White House press release.

Grenell will remain Washington's envoy in Berlin while leading American efforts to help Serbia and Kosovo reach a formal agreement which the media in Washington said could result in Belgrade's recognition of Kosovo.  

The Washington Times recalled that Grenell was the longest-serving US spokesman at the United Nations, working under four ambassadors from 2001 to 2008.

Kosovo President Hashim Thaci welcomed the appointment in a post on his Twitter account. "I look forward to working with him to secure peace in the Balkans and bring Kosovo into NATO and the European Union family," Thaci tweeted.  

Serbia's Minister for European Integration Jadranka Joksimovic told the Serbian state TV (RTS) that Grenell's appointment as special envoy shows that the Trump administration is interested in finding a solution to the Kosovo issue. She added that the format of the talks will not change. "This is a serious man. We will see how things will develop," she said.

 

September 23, 2019

Belgrade’s central role

neweurope.eu

Belgrade's central role

11-14 minutes


Serbia is now a part of the solution, not the problem

Serbia's Foreign Minister Ivica Dacic speaks with New Europe about the difficult political and economic tasks facing his country as Belgrade continues down the path of EU membership, building stronger relations with the US and Eurasia, and finalising a constructive solution to the issue of Kosovo. 

Ivica Dacic, Serbia's Foreign Minister, is clear about one particular subject – Serbia is fully committed to EU membership and closing a deal with Kosovo's Albanian population, both of which will take into account the interests of Serbia, the Big Powers (the US, Russia, and China), and the EU by giving it the sort of international legitimacy that will yield a stable and lasting solution.

"EU membership is Serbia's strategic goal. This is our government's fundamental policy and its supported by the majority of our citizens," said the 53-year-old veteran politician, who also served as Serbia's Prime Minister and headed the Ministry of Information.

The EU membership target sees Serbia successfully carry out necessary, but difficult reforms. Dacic noted that "Perhaps, what is even more important is how we reform our society and how successfully we secure Serbia's equitable position within the European structure.

This is especially true for Serbia's economy, since the EU is, without question, Serbia's biggest trade and investment partner, accounting for as much as 70% of our overall trade of imports and exports. The EU is a logical cultural and civilisational environment for Serbia, in view of the fact that millions of our citizens rely on the countries of the European Union for business, tourism, education, and such; or they have families living and working there. Our EU membership will only strengthen and formalise these and other strong ties which Serbia maintains with the members of the EU."

Fatigue in Brussels over the EU's enlargement programme and a growing sense introversion among the candidate countries in the region is beginning to erode support for EU membership, Dacic says, and both sides are to blame.

Serbian Foreign Minister Ivica Dacic attends a press conference with his Spanish counterpart, Josep Borrell, in Belgrade.
EPA-EFE/ANDREJ CUKIC

"It's been full 16 years since a country from the region has been admitted, and this sends a bad, dispiriting message. The EU seriously risks losing credibility. We in the Balkans are at fault, but by all means Brussels should shoulder the blame as well. Even (outgoing EU foreign affairs chief) Frederica Mogherini admitted saying that the EU has neglected the Balkans and must engage much more and quickly to maintain the region on the European path or else the price to pay will be very high," Dacic emphatically reiterated.

Within this context Dacic reiterated Serbia's call for the EU to open talks with North Macedonia and Albania, a point that he says needs to drive home the point that the "West Balkan countries must not remain the black hole of Europe".

With no ultimate goal still in sight, some Western circles still insist that Serbia adjust its foreign policy with the EU and impose sanctions against Russia, despite, much to Moscow's displeasure, having supported Ukraine's territorial integrity in the ongoing conflict. Dacic dismissed the notion that Serbia is "sitting on two chairs" saying, "I have clearly said that EU membership is Serbia's strategic goal. No ifs, nor buts about it."

"That said, we also believe that this interim period must not be detrimental to our other interests. Promoting relations with Russia is a constant and important interest of Serbia. Serbia and Russia have maintained close cultural relations for centuries. Our economic cooperation is quite big, particularly in the fields of energy and direct investments.

Many of our partners in the EU understand our position and as far as I can see some European capitals are more and more speaking loudly about the need for relaxation of relations with Russia, primarily at the economic and trade level. Europe and Russia are interdependent regarding trade and energy and any disruption is very damaging to both sides. We hope for, and urge a relaxation of, the tensions between the West and Russia because that would be very important for my country."

Ivica Dacic and Federica Mogherini, the High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, walk together to the Informal Meeting of EU Foreign Affairs Ministers at the Grandmaster's Palace in Valletta, Malta.EPA-EFE//DOMENIC AQUILINA

Serbia has so far resisted any pressure to abandon its neutral policy, insisting on good relations with all sides and reiterating its commitment to the EU membership. Nonetheless, any interaction with Moscow has raised eyebrows and the latest news that Serbia will sign a trade deal with the Moscow-led Eurasian Economic Union has some quarters concerned.

"This agreement opens many doors for our economy and that is our sole motive," said Dacic.

Serbia already has similar agreements and with big economies like Russia and Turkey making it a top destination for development finance institutions in Southeast Europe.

Further allaying fears, Dacic added, "We are fully aware that once a member of the EU, Serbia will have to adjust its foreign trade arrangements to conform to membership rules. But until then, we believe that free trade with those in the Eurasian Economic Union in no way impedes our strategic ambitions to become a member of the EU."

Speaking about pressures to stop Serbia's diplomatic drive to block Kosovo from joining international institutions like UNESCO and Interpol, Dacic said that quite a few EU members accept Belgrade's arguments against membership for Kosovo.

In stark contrast to its previous practice of rejecting any proposals on Kosovo, Belgrade's position now is "fully constructive and fully committed to seeking a long-term solution through a dialogue and compromise. Some influential countries cannot accept this about-turn and still insist on applying pressure which is now not just irrelevant, but also detrimental to the entire process. An imposed solution is never a long-lasting solution," Dacic said.   

EU's double-standards for secessionists

When asked if he believes that the EU has a double-standard when it comes to their attitudes toward the situations in Kosovo and Spain's northwestern region of Catalonia, which has been plagued by a nationalist/secessionist movement in recent years, Dacic added, "I could not agree that the EU has any standards at all. Spain is the best example of what I'm saying. We highly appreciate and are grateful to Spain as one of the five EU members not to recognise the independence of Kosovo or Metohija (a region in southwestern Kosovo) and has no intention of ever doing so. Spain has seen the results of an irresponsible attitude by the international community to the demands of some regions for independence, as in the case of Kosovo. Catalonia's case has clearly shown that Europe rejects a unilateral decision on independence without the blessing of the home country. This is the principle we have been defending for decades."

US shifting its position

Dacic welcomed a new effort by the Americans to play a more active role in solving the Kosovo problem. Recently, he expressed his wish that US President Donald J. Trump call a summit involving the principal decision-makers from both countries, once that would be similar to the Camp David summit called by President Jimmy Carter in 1978 that saw bitter enemies Israel and Egypt sign a peace deal.

"This is especially significant since it shows they now accept Serbia's arguments in the quest for a long-term solution. This is a novel situation. The Americans now have quite clearly seen that Kosovo's independence, which they supported and sponsored for years, is not a closed book after all. Right now, it is more a part of the problem in the region than a solution, unlike Serbia's role. Closer cooperation with Serbia, and respect of Belgrade's arguments, is the correct road to take and inevitably leads to success."    

"We want the future solution for Kosovo to have as broad as possible international legitimacy to give it stable and lasting foundations," Dacic said while stressing the need to include as many interested parties as possible into the process.

"In order to achieve a solution, we must take into account the positions and interests not only of US, and some other EU countries, but also Russia and China, all the permanent members of the UN Security Council, and, naturally, Serbia. But in order to have any movement and for Belgrade to return to the negotiating table, Pristina must lift its 100% taxes on goods from Serbia, which is in stark violation of the CEFTA (Central European Free Trade Agreement) free trade accord," Dacic said in reference to a 100% tariff imposed by Kosovo's government in November 2018 on all goods coming from Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Pristina has since continued to ignore its Western backers and refused to revoke the tax.

Dacic also welcomed the appointment of Matthew Palmer, a veteran Balkans hand, as the US' Special Envoy for the region and said he has a huge and difficult task ahead. "His appointment means that the Americans are serious about seizing this opportunity to achieve a solution, we should be too." 

Solidarity needed as tensions appear to be on the rise

The EU needs to push for more solidarity in the region, according to Dacic, when he referred to the increased number of attacks on Serbs in Croatia, which he referred to as "systematic and open violence" that is being completely ignored by both Zagreb and the EU.

"In this sort of atmosphere, with election campaign season fast approaching, this can only increase (Croatian) nationalist and anti-Serb incidents. We are afraid for the security of Serbs in Croatia, more than ever since the end of the (1991-1992) war, and we use every opportunity to ask the European politicians to put a stop to that wave of hatred and violence towards our compatriots. Tolerance and respect for others is plunging to a new low and given the lack of will by the EU, we do not expect anything to change."

His comments came after 15 Croats, wearing masks and toting clubs, reportedly beat a group of Serbs in the eastern Croatian town of Knin, once a Serb stronghold, because they were watching a football match involving Red Star Belgrade.

Voters' concerns in Serbia

Over the last several elections in Serbia, and despite the rise of nationalist and populism in the neighbouring countries of the Balkans, the subject of Kosovo's status was not even among the top five issues of Serb voters' minds over the last several elections. The economy was what the majority of Serbs said was their biggest concern, which added further proof that nationalist rhetoric has a fleeting political effect, but lasting toxic impact on the relations among peoples of a historically volatile region. 

"This is exactly what I'm talking about. Election campaigns cannot be a pretext for national bestiality. Why don't we have the same thing in Serbia during our elections? Not a single window on an Albanian or Croat house was broken, not a single hair was harmed. That is why we ask the others to behave with the same maturity and tolerance."

 

Dark Clouds Over Serbia

neweurope.eu

Dark Clouds Over Serbia

By Jovan Kovacic
Political Affairs Editor, New Europe

8-11 minutes


US and Russia struggle for influence

Maria Zakharova, the public mouthpiece of Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, made the biggest and most chilling impression when she scolded the US Ambassador to Serbia Kyle Scott for his comments on the future of Serbian-American relations.

Zakharaova's words were a strange departure from the standard diplomatic practice as a foreign ministry does not usually comment on the statements of ambassadors of a rival power and made in a third country with no reference to its own state. Pundits say there is more of this to come and will only get worse as US-Russian tensions grow and their fight over influence in the Balkans intensifies.

Noting the current excellent relations between the US and Serbia, Scott said in an interview with a Serbian daily that "It is finally the time to move forward and improve our relations and we have very good foundations to do so. We share the same vision of Serbia becoming a deserving member in the European Union."

This did not sit well with Moscow as Zakharova offered a sharply-worded retort, saying, "The US must first apologise for the (1999) bombing Yugoslavia, pay for damages to the families of the killed and wounded in the attacks, and only then ask from others to look into the future." The message was loud and clear that Moscow is following the growing ties between Washington and Belgrade closely and will not look kindly on the growing rapprochement between White House and the Serbian government. 

Washington's engagement

Until a few years ago the firm belief in Washington was that the Kosovo issue had already been resolved and that the Western Balkans will plod along en route to becoming a member of the EU. During that period, Moscow made an unprecedented effort in the history of Serbian-Russian relations to win hearts and minds. The Kremlin had alarming success with Serbia's population, largely because they pressed the issue without ever being in competition with a third party. Russia's support for Serbia in the UN Security Council, which included blocking Kosovo's membership in the UN, gave Moscow significant leverage in Belgrade. At the same time, Serbia's diplomacy went into overdrive and prompted 15 countries to revoke or annul their recognition of Kosovo. When Russia opened Belgrade outlets for its two propaganda outlets – Russia Today and Sputnik – and after Donald J. Trump was elected president, the Americans finally woke up to the current realities in the Western Balkans.

Washington is now saying it will accept any arrangement that Belgrade and Pristina can reach. Trump has followed this up by appointing a Balkans veteran, Mathew Palmer, as special envoy to the troubled region to reinvigorate the stalled talks between the Serbian and Kosovar sides. He already holds the position of Deputy Assistant Secretary responsible for the region in the State Department's Bureau for Europe and Eurasia. Negotiations have been frozen since Pristina imposed a 100% tariff on all Serbian imports, a major contravention of the regional free trade CEFTA agreement. Serbia has enthusiastically welcomed the US' change of heart as well as its renewed involvement in the peace process, which has included floating the idea of holding an international conference on Kosovo which would include the US, EU, Russia, China, and Turkey – all which have vested interests in the region.

This downgrades Moscow's leverage over Belgrade, which consistently reiterated its commitment to becoming a member of the EU. Serbia has, so far, refused to join the ranks of current members of the EU to impose economic sanctions on Russia for its illegal annexation of Crimea, but has also said clearly it is aware that joining the European Union means Belgrade must streamline its foreign policy and commitments with those of Brussels.

The 100th anniversary of the Serbian flag flying over the White House to commemorate the bravery of the Serbian soldiers in World War I was a media topic in Serbia for days. The bilateral goodwill also included a commemoration of the 75th anniversary of Operation Halyard when 500 American pilots were saved by their World War II Serbian allies.

This was not welcome or good news for Moscow, which has already suffered embarrassing defeats at the hands of the West in both Montenegro and North Macedonia. Zakharova's ominous statement indicates that Moscow will not cede its last remnants of patronage in the Balkans without a fight. This will undoubtedly be seen as a foreboding dark cloud hanging over the locals of the region.

Rethinking the Kosovo question

Pristina has thus far turned a deaf ear to the demands of its erstwhile mentors – the US and EU – that it must lift the tariffs bringing the government down. Elections are scheduled for October 6 and already the US and EU have said they hoped the new government will revoke the tariffs to reopen the talks with Belgrade.

  Czech President Milos Zeman recently told his host, Serb President Aleksandar Vucic, that his country should rethink its recognition of Kosovo. Zeman's Prime Minister Andrej Babis rejected the idea out of hand, but later backtracked saying he could not make such a decision on his own and would leave it to his government to decide. Interesting times, not that anyone expects this to really happen. Similar public suggestions have been the main drivers behind Belgrade's increasingly friendly relationship with the Visegrad Group – the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia. 

In another body blow, Dr. John M. Nomikos, the Director at the Research Institute for European and American Studies in Athens, said in an interview that the number one problem for the Western Balkans is not Islamic extremism, but rather the Albanian organised crime syndicates that control most of the drug trade, trafficking and money laundering in Europe and also cooperates with Islamic extremists in Albania and Kosovo.

Observers worry that organised crime rings in Kosovo could play a detrimental role in the peace process simply because they are not interested in having a modern, transparent, and law-abiding state with an independent judiciary and uncorrupted police force.

Worrying signs in Bosnia

Not to be outpaced in the quest to dominate the regional spotlight, the Party of Democratic Action (SDA), Bosnia and Herzegovina's leading Bosniak party, may have opened Pandora's Box after adopting at its recent congress a resolution calling for the reorganisation of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a unitary republic with Sarajevo as its political, administrative, cultural and economic center. The proposal is a violation of the 1995 Dayton Peace Accords that ended Bosnia's brutal three-year civil war. Dayton specifically defined Bosnia as a state comprising two entities – the Bosnian-Croat Federation and the Republika Srpska – made up of the country's three main ethno-religious groups of Muslim Bosniaks, Orthodox Serbs, and Catholic Croats.

Milorad Dodik, the leader of the Bosnian Serbs, immediately warned in his patented firebrand manner that the Serb regions of Bosnia could move towards secession if the SDA follows through with its proposal.

The international community's top representatives in Bosnia also echoed Dodik's condemnation. Valentin Inzko, the High Representative, slammed the SDA's resolution as it failed to gain the consent of either the Serbs and Croats. Inzko and the OSCE accused the Bosniak party of knowingly stoking ethnic tensions.

Bosnia also experienced its first gay pride parade earlier this month. With a large police presence on the streets, hundreds of Sarajevans defied threats of violence by conservative Islamic groups to march, sing, and wave rainbow flags in the predominately Muslim city. Bosnia is the last of the former Yugoslav republics to hold a gay pride event.

Belgrade also held a large, now routinely peaceful pride march this month, which was attended by Serbia first gay prime minister, Ana Brnabic, and her partner Milica Durdic.

EU hopes to act as go-between to avoid political impasse

Embattled Serbian opposition has only partially welcomed an initiative by David McAllister, the Chair of the European Parliament Foreign Affairs Committee, for the European Parliament to mediate with the Serbian authorities in the hope of staving off an election boycott that is due early next year. Denying any wrongdoing, the ruling SNS party, which steadily polls above 50%, has welcomed the initiative and has also called for OSCE to immediately send a team and check the opposition's demands.

Observers say that those parties urging the boycott and claiming that six months are not enough to resolve all the issues even with EU and OSCE involvement are simply covering up their lack of voter support and vision, hence the lukewarm welcome to the EP initiative.

 

September 15, 2019

NATIONAL INTEREST: Is Another Nation Going to Buy the S-400 from Russia?

Is Another Nation Going to Buy the S-400 from Russia?

Is Serbia next?

by Charlie Gao

In September 2019, Russia and Serbia held their first joint air-defense exercise, Slavic Shield. In this exercise, Serbian air-defense troops learned how to use the S-400 air defense system, practicing its employment against a variety of targets, both simulated and real. Naturally, this opens the question as to whether Serbia plans to buy the S-400. But a look back into the history of Serbia provides mixed answers.

According to an oral history given by former Yugoslavian Minister of Foreign Affairs Živadin Jovanović, the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (SFRY) was interested in the S-300 air defense system as early as 1989. Negotiations were underway when the SFRY began to dissolve in 1991, along with the Soviet Union. Deliveries did not occur due to the following civil war and the fact that the SFRY supported the Soviet hardliners during the Soviet breakup. 

But following the lifting of the arms embargo with the Dayton accords in 1995, the new Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (basically consisting of the modern states of Serbia and Montenegro) began looking at air defense systems again. Plans to buy the S-300VM variant along with other medium-range systems were put into place, and Yugoslavian air-defense troops were sent to Russia for training on them. 

But the Kosovo War in 1998 prevented these deliveries as well. The UN placed another embargo on the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia in 1998. Air defense troops who were training in Russia were not allowed to return, and no launchers or missiles were delivered. Yugoslavian air defense during the Kosovo War was conducted primarily with surplus S-125 Nevas bought from Romania. 

With the lifting of the arms embargo again in 2001, the new Republic of Serbia was free to buy weapons again, but was in no position to. Local industry continued to modernize the S-125s, and in 2017 two batteries of Buk-MB launchers were ordered from Belarus, a fairly deep modernization of the medium-ranged Buk missile. But even then, there have been continual reports that Serbia wants to buy the S-300. These reports invariably are denied by both Serbia and Russia, which dismiss them as not being part of the official plan for defense and technical cooperation.

But the inclusion of Serbia in air-defense exercises in 2019 may suggest that the tides are changing. It's possible that the Serbian Ministry of Defense has been waiting for Russia to begin offering the S-400 to more countries, and now thinks it is an opportune time to make a purchase. 

On the other hand, Serbian government-sponsored media published a headline article on September 5 that said Trump's special envoy the Western Balkans, Matthew Palmer, had offered an incredible deal to Serbia. The deal was a squadron of F-16s, $10 billion dollars, and guaranteed EU membership by 2024 in exchange for recognition of the independence of Kosovo. 

While highly unlikely that this is true, as no western source has reported it and the deal would be incredibly expensive, Serbia has been looking westward recently in arms purchases. Serbia took delivery of several Airbus H145M helicopters and MBDA Mistral short-range anti-air missiles earlier this year. It's possible that like the former SFRY, Serbia is looking to play both Russia and the West in an attempt to acquire the best weapons for its military. S-400 training with Russia may be just another part of the long play.

Charlie Gao studied Political and Computer Science at Grinnell College and is a frequent commentator on defense and national security issues.

 

Image: Reuters

 

August 31, 2019

Visas for Kosovo? No trade for Serbia? EU still acting like it's 1999

rt.com

Visas for Kosovo? No trade for Serbia? EU still acting like it’s 1999

5-6 minutes


From talking visa-free travel with the renegade Serbian province of Kosovo to demanding Serbia renege on a free-trade pact with Moscow, the EU keeps acting as if the impending Brexit will not shatter its illusion of inevitability.

Federica Mogherini, the EU’s current foreign policy czar, argued on Thursday that Kosovo should be granted visa-free travel privileges, as “all the requirements for the abolition of visas have been met.” How exactly would this work in the five EU member states that haven’t recognized Kosovo, she did not say.

Cyprus, Greece, Romania, Slovakia, and Spain have refused to recognize the renegade Serbian province ever since the ethnic Albanian provisional government declared independence in 2008. Serbia has likewise refused recognition, officially because it violates the UN Security Council Resolution 1244 that authorized a NATO peacekeeping presence in the province in 1999, following an illegal air war on behalf of the Albanian separatists.

Also on rt.com Kosovo: A decade of dependence

Serbian FM Ivica Dacic has already protested the presence of ‘Kosovo’ FM Behgjet Pacolli at the informal meeting of EU foreign ministers in Helsinki, where Mogherini made her pitch. Serbia is a candidate for EU membership, while Kosovo is not.

The European Commission responded that Pacolli’s presence was “necessary and useful” because Mogherini wanted the “participation of all Western Balkan countries to discuss important topics aimed at improving regional cooperation.”

While every Serbian government since the October 2000 “color revolution” has spoken of EU membership as the foremost foreign-policy objective, Brussels has repeatedly made clear that the precondition for this is for Belgrade to “reckon with reality” and recognize Kosovo. That has been a step too far for even the most ardently pro-EU politicians.

Also on rt.com NATO, church & brotherhood of arms: Vladimir Putin visits Belgrade

Attempts by President Aleksandar Vucic to gain leverage with the EU by romancing the Kremlin have only hardened the position of both Brussels and Washington. The unwillingness of the US and EU to open any kind of loophole for Vucic to squeeze the recognition through – in exchange for even the tiniest empty gesture he could spin as a win – has, ironically, stalled the whole process.

Stuck in the EU’s waiting room, Vucic has sought short-term gains by signing a free-trade pact with the Eurasian Economic Union, a bloc led by Russia and China. The treaty will be formalized on October 25, the Russian ambassador to Belgrade has announced.

Needless to say, Brussels is not happy. While Belgrade is of course free to make any treaties with anyone right now, “in the context of accession talks, Serbia is obligated to withdraw from all bilateral trade agreements on the day of its accession to the EU,” the European Commission said this week, while other high-ranking EU officials told Belgrade the treaty ought to have an “exit clause.”

If all of this sounds familiar, that’s because it is: Brussels offered the exact same terms to Ukraine back in 2013, leading President Viktor Yanukovych to choose a trade deal with Russia instead – whereupon he was overthrown in a bloody coup that plunged the country into chaos and civil war.

Also on rt.com Ukraine's association deal bittersweet with no real hope for EU integration

While EU positions on the 'Western Balkans' haven’t changed a bit since then, circumstances have. The bloc’s leadership now finds itself at odds with US President Donald Trump on Iran and trade. Brussels has also had to contend with millions of migrants, political drama in Catalonia, and the UK decision in 2016 to leave. 

All of these present an existential challenge to the bloc whose key selling points since the end of the Cold War have been inevitability and a promise of prosperity. Yet how has that worked out for Romania, Bulgaria, or even Greece? Then there is the Yellow Vests movement in France, and the rise of alternative parties in Italy and Germany… 

October 31 is the hard deadline for Brexit. It is also the day Mogherini’s mandate runs out, along with the rest of the current European Commission. The day after could be more than just the beginning of a new EC mandate, but an entirely new leaf for the EU as well – a chance to reckon with reality, if you will. 

Nebojsa Malic

Nebojsa Malic is a Serbian-American journalist and political commentator for RT America, based in Washington, DC.

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT.

 

August 24, 2019

Opposition Leader Says Attacks on Serb Minority Not Isolated Cases

total-croatia-news.com

Opposition Leader Says Attacks on Serb Minority Not Isolated Cases

By HINA

1-2 minutes


ZAGREB, August 24, 2019 - Commenting on recent attacks on members of the Serb minority, the president of the Social Democratic Party (SDP), Davor Bernardić, said on Friday that these attacks were not isolated cases, adding that once the SDP returned to power, these attacks and violence would not be tolerated.

Asked to comment on SDP's position on recent attacks on members of the Serb ethnic minority, the SDP chief said these attacks "are not isolated cases."

"Unfortunately, this was only one (of a number of) attacks on Serbs in Croatia during the rule of the incumbent government, but this comes as no surprise to me, because we have a government that tolerates the use of the Ustasha salute "For the Homeland, Ready!", Bernardić said.

On the other hand, "we have Serb representatives in Croatia who, instead of protecting Croatian Serbs, they are protecting the ruling Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ), and sit in the same government with them," Bernardić said.

More news about the status of Serbs in Croatia can be found in the Politics section.

 

August 20, 2019

NYT: An Archaeological Puzzle on the Danube

An Archaeological Puzzle on the Danube

Unique sculptures date from the historical moment when two peoples and two cultures met on the banks of a section of the river, now known as the Iron Gates.

Continued:   https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/20/science/archaeology-europe-migration.html?emc=rss&partner=rss