October 28, 2006

Kosovo Serbs see constitution referendum crucial for their future in the province

Kosovo Serbs see constitution referendum crucial for their future in the province 



 
International Herald Tribune
Kosovo Serbs see constitution referendum crucial for their future in the province
 
 
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2006
 
OSOJANE, Serbia In the tiny western village of Osojane in the breakaway province of Kosovo, Vlastimir Vukovic shared his home-made plum brandy with a fellow Serb. The bottle he kept it in had a label written in Albanian, as is virtually everything else surrounding the remote Serb enclave — from the road signs to the graffiti on the walls.

On Saturday, the Serbs plan to walk past NATO peacekeepers' tanks guarding the village and into the local school to cast ballots in a referendum on a new constitution that declares Kosovo an integral part of Serbia.

Vukovic says the vote is crucial if there is to be a future for the Serbs in Kosovo, where the majority ethnic Albanians are seeking independence.

"There is no life for Serbs here, unless Kosovo is part of Serbia," said Vukovic, 68.

Some 100,000 Serbs remain in Kosovo, most of them in isolated enclaves under the protection of the peacekeepers.

Although diplomats insist the referendum has no bearing on U.N.-led negotiations on the political future of Kosovo, the vote reflects the deep divisions between the province's communities.

The province, now administered by the United Nations, has struggled to recover from a 1998-99 war that left some 10,000 dead and pitted Serbs and ethnic Albanians against one another.

A key article in the new constitution reasserts the breakaway province — which the Serbs consider its cultural heartland — is a part of Serbia. Western diplomats say the province is likely to gain some form of independence.

"I will never live in an independent Kosovo," Vukovic said. "The constitution treats Kosovo as Serbia and that means Belgrade will protects us," he said.

He passed a glass of brandy to Jagos Djuric, sitting next to him. The two are among some 30 Serbs who returned to live in Osojane after initially fleeing in the aftermath of the conflict, when ethnic Albanians sought revenge for the actions of Serb forces.

Djuric, 52, said living conditions were difficult, jobs were scarce and there was no safety — issues he believes only Serbia can alleviate if it retains control of the province.

Ethnic Albanians insist Serbia has lost the right to govern the province after the death and destruction it brought.

"It cannot bring them any good," said Ylber Hysa, an ethnic Albanian legislator involved in talks with Serbia. "In Kosovo the vote is more an act of internal politics and a provocation rather than a true attempt to retain Kosovo within Serbia."

Analysts contend that the vote will just harden the stands of the opposing communities.

"The referendum will make it difficult for Belgrade to recognize any change in Kosovo's status," said Daniel Serwer, an expert on peace and security operations at the U.S. Institute of Peace.

"This is what Kostunica wants: Belgrade locked into a position of seeking recovery of territory. This could be a source of instability for many years to come," he said.

http://www.iht.com/bin/print_ipub.php?file=/articles/ap/2006/10/27/europe/EU_GEN_Kosovo_Constitution.php






Brought to you by Attensa for Outlook (download it here)


U.S. Ambassador Answers Questions on Serbia

U.S. Ambassador Answers Questions on Serbia



U.S. Ambassador Answers Questions on Serbia

USINFO Webchat transcript, October 27

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
Bureau of International Information Programs
USINFO Webchat Transcript

“Ask the Ambassador” with Ambassador to the Republic of Serbia Michael C. Polt

Guest:     Michael C. Polt
Date:      October 27, 2006
Time:      9:00am EDT (1300 GMT)

WEBCHAT MODERATOR: Join Ambassador Michael C. Polt at 1300 GMT (1500 CET) on October 27 to discuss global issues of concern to Serbs and Americans.

WEBCHAT MODERATOR: We'll be getting started very shortly. Thanks for coming today.

QUESTION [vpekic]: Dear Mr. Ambassador,

1. What have been your personal emotions/views regarding the Montenegrin independence process and the re-birth of this new nation in Europe after 88 years during your mandate in Belgrade?

2. What has surprised you most about Serbia and does it still surprise you?

ANSWER [Ambassador Michael Polt]

1. The most important element of the Montenegrin referendum was the free, democratic, and peaceful expression of the will of the people. Montenegrin independence is the only such peaceful result as a consequence of the break-up of Yugoslavia.

2. The resilience of the Serbian people and the worldliness and intelligence of the Serbian young people despite their relative isolation.

Q [Tony]: Where does Serbia need the most work? What kind of investment is the USA providing them?

A: In your economy, of course, to create more and better jobs for all. We are investing in virtually all sectors of your economy, from manufacturing to services. But you also need a new approach to the future. You can honor the past, but make for a better future.

Q [Tony]: When would you guess that Serbia would get into EU? NATO?

A: As soon as you are ready. Your future development is in your hands, not outsiders, as so many seem to believe. Of course, both NATO and the EU have membership criteria. I know you can meet all of them if you choose to.

Q [Guest]: Do you think it's still possible to reach Kosovo future status agreement by the end of this year?

A: Yes. Neither Serbians nor Albanians nor any other group, in any part of Serbia, including Kosovo, are helped by any further delay. Once a resolution is reached, all of the people of this country and this region can get on with building a brighter future.

Q [Guest]: Postovani Mr. Michael C.Polt,

Ja sam decko sa Kosova i Metohije, iz grada Prizrena i zelim znati da li postoji sansa da se vratim na Kosovo...

A: I really believe there is and my country is doing all it can to help create the right conditions for all who wish to live and work in any part of Kosovo can do so. In the end result, much will depend on the good will of all who live there. These people of good will do exist.

Q [Guest]: Postovani gospodine Polt,

Da li ce Amerika moci nesto da nauci iz situacije na Balkanu i u Srbiji, ili cemo uvek mi dobijati lekcije od Zapada?

A: Americans are always learning and we know that we don't have all the answers. All we can do is try and do our best. It is not our intention or in our interest to lecture. But at the same time, we are not willing to accept things that are not right, just because some argue that it has always been that way. The world -- our world -- can be a better place.

Q [Guest]: Dear Mr. Michael C. Polt, Is Manhattan the best and the prettiest city in the world?

Sincerely, Draga Duric

A: The people of Manhattan think so. They may be right. But then I like Tennessee...

 

Q [Guest]: Dear Michael C. Polt. Will the US Embassy start to give easier visas to students that were already accepted in some high school, college or university?

Sincerely, Anjelka Blagojevic

A: We want as many students from Serbia as possible to come and study in the U.S. I can promise you that we will work with all prospective students to make our visa process as easy as possible. I can also promise that we will always treat you with the utmost courtesy and respect when you come to our Embassy.

Q [Book Fair]:

INSPARED BY THE TODAY'S VERY HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE END OF OCTOBER, I WOULD LIKE TO ASK MR. AMBASSADOR IF USA GOVERMENT IS GOING TO SIGN FOR THE KIOTO PROTOCOL, AND TO FOLLOW THE EXAMPLE OF CALIFORNIA. THANK YOU. NIKOLA NIKACEVIC, UNIVERSITY OF BELGRADE

A: The United States of America shares the concerns of our globe on all issues, including on global warming. We have proposed many ways to deal with the potential threats of global warming and will work hard with all other nations interested in the most effective way to deal with this issue.

Q [Guest]: How does the independence of Montenegro affect the possibility of independence for Kosovo?

A: Kosovo is an issue on to itself. Under a United Nations mandate, the international community is dedicated to finding a solution to the real life concerns of the people of Kosovo. We are counting on support for that in Belgrade as well as in Pristina.

Q [Guest]: Dear Mr. Michael C. Polt,

My daughter has pictures of US presidents Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan.

My question is, is there any way possible to get picture of George W. Bush? Can Mr. Bush put his signature on a picture, because those presidents put his autograph on their pictures?

Thank you,

Dragan Lazovic

P.S. If you are able to send the picture please send it on:
[Personal information has been removed to protect individual’s privacy.]

A: I will be glad to send your daughter a picture of the President. Look for it in the mail soon.

Q [Guest]: What is the best book you have ever read?

A: It is too hard for me to choose among all the books I have read to say which is the best. I can tell you that one of the ones I read some years ago that impressed me deeply was "The Hope" by Herman Wouk, a novel about the struggle of the first decades of the State of Israel.

Q [dvj]: Dear Sir, David Vujanovic here from AFP...

Do you think the proposed new Serbian constitution would be a positive step for the country, or do you think that it could complicate issues in the region?

Thanks

A: The real answer to that can really only be given by the Serbian citizens. If passed, it will be their constitution. A document that is viewed by Serbia as a way to identify itself as a democratic, open-minded, confident, forward looking and diverse country would be a good thing.

WEBCHAT MODERATOR: We would like to thank Ambassador Polt for all of his time today as well as all of the wonderful participants in Serbia.

You will be able to find the transcript of this chat later today at our Webchat Station http://usinfo.state.gov/usinfo/Products/Webchats.html.

Thank you


Created:27 Oct 2006 Updated: 27 Oct 2006



U.S. Ambassador Answers Questions on Serbia http://usinfo.state.gov/usinfo/Archive/2006/Oct/27-158475.html




Brought to you by Attensa for Outlook (download it here)


Kosovo falls hostage to big power rivalry

Kosovo falls hostage to big power rivalry



Kosovo falls hostage to big power rivalry

By Guy Dinmore in Washington

Published: October 27 2006 18:44 | Last updated: October 27 2006 18:44

The US has sent a special envoy to Kosovo and Serbia to press both sides to keep the peace as the international community prepares to decide the status of the United Nations-run province.

Diplomats and politicians on all sides expect a messy and inconclusive outcome, and fear further ethnic ­violence in Kosovo with peacekeepers from Nato caught in the middle.

Few believe that Martti Ahtisaari, the former Finnish president acting as UN mediator, can broker a compromise. This weekend Serbian voters are likely to approve by referendum a new constitution reaffirming Kosovo as part of Serbia, while the province’s ethnic Albanian majority overwhelmingly aspires to, and expects, full independence.

The fate of Kosovo – run by the UN and protected by Nato since the 1999 air campaign stopped ethnic cleansing by Serbia – is also hostage to the deteriorating state of relations between the US and Russia. These are complicated by rising tensions in the southern Caucasus and competing interests over Iran and energy resources.

As Russia reasserts itself on the world stage, the US and Europe are wondering what price President Vladimir Putin will exact at the UN Security Council in exchange for consenting to Kosovo’s independence, or whether he will simply block the process completely.

Mr Putin warns that independence for Kosovo would set a precedent for Abkhazia and South Ossetia, the Russian-backed, separatist enclaves in Georgia. The US insists Kosovo is a “unique” case, thereby also seeking to assuage Chinese concerns over Taiwan and Tibet.

Diplomats expect Mr Ahtisaari will recommend a form of “managed” or “conditional” independence that falls short of full sovereignty, keeping Kosovo under international protection and guidance, possibly for three years.

Should Russia deprive Kosovo of the UN’s blessing for a path to independence, then the Kosovo Albanian government under Agim Ceku, prime minister, may be encouraged by the US to consider making a unilateral declaration of independence.

This heightens the risk that the Serb minority in Kosovo, mostly concentrated in Nato-protected enclaves, would follow suit and declare their own independence or allegiance to ­Belgrade.

Frank Wisner, the special US envoy, is expected to urge Belgrade to prevent any such breakaway move. Diplomats say his mission is to tell ­Kosovo and Serbia that they must accept Mr Ahtisaari’s “compromise imposed solution”.

Dimitri Simes, head of the Nixon Center think-tank which has close contact with Moscow, says Russia’s position on Kosovo is hardening but it may not have decided how it will vote at the UN.

“That depends on the overall status of the US-Russia relationship, the results of World Trade Organisation negotiations and the forthcoming meetings in November between Presidents Bush and Putin, first in Moscow and then in Hanoi,” he said.

But he warned that it might be difficult for Mr Putin to back down over Kosovo.

“The Russian leadership, including President Putin personally, is making it increasingly clear to the Bush administration that Georgia is becoming a defining issue in the US-Russia relationship the way Iran and North Korea are on the American side.”

Glen Howard, president of the Jamestown Foundation security think-tank, said Mr Putin had “let the genie out of the bottle with nationalism” and warned of the dangers posed by a Russia seeking to regain its Soviet-era domination of the Caucasus and its strategic oil and gas pipelines.

Condoleezza Rice, US secretary of state, kept making concessions only for Russia to keep “upping the ante”, Mr Howard said.

It was possible the Bush administration would seek to delay Kosovo’s bid for independence and Georgia’s bid for Nato membership to keep Russia on board over Iran and North Korea, he added.

Speaking of the deadlock facing Mr Ahtisaari, one Kosovo Albanian politician commented: “We are waiting for the real talks to begin – between the US and Russia.”




Brought to you by Attensa for Outlook (download it here)


EU Stance on Kosovo Could Backfire With Serbia, Say Analysts

EU Stance on Kosovo Could Backfire With Serbia, Say Analysts 



 
 
Posted 10/27/06 13:01
 
Print this story
 
EU Stance on Kosovo Could Backfire With Serbia, Say Analysts

 


Serbia’s new soon-to-be-adopted constitution remains fixated on Kosovo “as an integral part” of its territory, showing high political tension and a deep public malaise in the country, say experts.
The international community’s goal of finalizing an independence timetable for Kosovo ahead of Serbia’s parliamentary elections in December could backfire by tempting hardline nationalist leaders in Belgrade to stoke up ethnic tensions in the ever-volatile Balkan region, according to security analysts and European Union (EU) officials.
“Serbia is in no position to make war, but it could stir up trouble across the region if it wants to — in the Republic of Srpska [the ethnic Serbian component of the tri-state Bosnia-Herzegovina federation], in Kosovo and in Macedonia and Montenegro,” Judy Batt, research fellow on Balkan issues at the EU Institute of Security Studies, Paris, told an Oct. 18 conference here on Serbia’s democratic future.
Milan Pajevic agreed. His reformist liberal party, G17 Plus, is a junior member of Serbia’s coalition government and is threatening to withdraw from it over constitutional issues.
“There has been no clear and resolute break with our past. Some of the biggest profiteers and rabble rousers from the [Slobodan] Milosevic era have been absorbed into our current economic and political structures,” said Pajevic, referring to the late Serbian strongman who was indicted by the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) for war crimes during the 1991-1995 Balkan conflicts.
Serbia will hold a popular referendum Oct. 28-29 on the new constitution and its controversial reference to Kosovo. As for Serbia’s dialogue with Kosovo leaders in U.N.-sponsored negotiations to orchestrate the province’s independence, Belgrade has refused to yield an inch of ground. “Those talks have gone nowhere since they were launched in February,” Batt said.
The question now remains whether the Kosovo issue will play into Serbia’s parliamentary election in December, for which an exact date is still unknown.
Despite the international community’s mounting frustration with Belgrade’s intransigence, Batt advised against any premature move by the six-nation Contact Group. The group — comprising Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Russia and the United States — is responsible for organizing Kosovo’s political detachment from Serbia.
“The Contact Group wants to end these talks by the end of this year, with recommendations delivered to the U.N.,” said Batt. “This would fall right in the middle of Serbia’s election. I don’t think that would be a good thing. It would be better to delay the release of those recommendations [until after the election].”
Pajevic warned that “what we now have [in the attitude of Serbia’s leadership toward Kosovo] is a direct result of Milosevic’s deranged politics of the 1990s.”
“It will be very bad if that leadership exploits [the loss of] Kosovo to distort our relationship with the European Union.”
Whether Serbia uses its December election to rise above its past is, indeed, an open question. The country’s prospects for closer ties to the European Union have been frozen by the latter since May, due to Belgrade’s failure to deliver the last of its war criminals to the ICTY, such as the notorious former warlord Ratko Mladic.
“The status quo of Kosovo is intolerable for everyone — including Serbia — but we want the Serbian people to look to their European future rather than dwelling on their past,” said Heather Grabbe, an adviser to Olli Rehn, the European Commissioner for enlargement policy. “But this means dealing with the ICTY and [the forthcoming loss of] Kosovo.”
All three speakers said defense reform would help Serbia achieve the democratic legitimacy and transparency it lacks today.
“Serbia does not have a proper rule of law or democratic control of its military. Why is it Belgrade cannot achieve full cooperation with the ICTY? Because it is linked to these two very real problems,” said Grabbe.
NATO could have had a role there but, like the EU, it excluded Serbia from joining its Partnership for Peace (PfP) program until the country resolves its ICTY problems. In Pajevic’s view, that was a mistake.
“It would be much better to have Serbia as a PfP member. Then it could work hand-in-hand with NATO allies to shape Serbia’s military forces and use them to find Mladic and other war criminals,” he said.
Batt seconded that view, arguing that Serbia’s PfP eligibility “should not have been linked to the ICTY—precisely because PfP addresses security and defense reform issues.”

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=2307506&C=europe


Brought to you by Attensa for Outlook (download it here)


Serbia and the Referendum on the new Constitution - Public opinion polling






Serbia and the Referendum on the new Constitution - Public opinion polling




Serbia and the Referendum on the new Constitution - Public opinion polling

The referendum on the adoption of the new Serbian constitution will be held on 28 and 29 October 2006. There are in total 6,639,385 voters who will have the right to vote at the referendum.

The wording of the new constitution which was approved by the Serbian National Assembly on 30 September 2006 differs in many aspects from the Milošević's 1990 constitution which is presently still in force.

The current constitution was adopted in the former Yugoslavia (SFRY) when Serbia was one of its federal units, while the draft new constitution points to the need to define formally and legally the statehood of the Republic of Serbia and to finally deal away with the remnants of Milošević's regime.

For quite some time this was generally understood as the main reason for the political consensus regarding the adoption of the new constitution. However, the referendum campaign is marked by the pre-election race for winning political points in view of the parliamentary and presidential elections which are to follow soon should the new constitution be adopted. For a positive result of the referendum 50% plus one vote of the total voting body is required.

When a few months ago the State Union Serbia and Montenegro was "buried", Prime Minister Vojislav Koštunica and his DSS (Democratic Party of Serbia) had to find a way out of the crisis into which they fell after they advocated the common state union with Montenegro. Koštunica's government was facing a collapse especially after the G17 plus ministers threatened to leave the government by 1 October unless the talks with the EU continue until 1 October.

Since constitution is Koštunica's "boy's dream" as the boss of the governing coalition he managed quite quickly to achieve a consensus which he wanted to capitalise on and present to the voters as his own political success. The opposition parties were ready to co-operate solely for own party interest in the early parliamentary elections.

However, the marginal, non-parliamentary parties – LDP (Liberal Democratic Party), LSDV (League of Social Democrats of Vojvodina), GSS (Civil Alliance of Serbia) and SDU (Social Democratic Union) – are openly calling for a boycott of the referendum under the slogan "YES to citizen constitution, No to party constitution".

There are some justified reasons for opposing the new constitution, for example the absence of a public debate on the draft constitution which is the usual practice in the west European states, since the aim of the public debate is, among other, to define the problematic issues and find ideas on how to correct or amend them.

The IFIMES International Institute is of the opinion that minor political parliamentary and non-parliamentary parties in Serbia will not be able to influence the results of the referendum since the present Serbian authorities have already prepared the scenario according to which the referendum will be pronounced as successful regardless of what will the citizens are going to express or the opposition of minor political parties.

http://www.balkanpeace.org/index.php?index=article&articleid=14059




Brought to you by Attensa for Outlook (download it here)